THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Really good stuff.

I’ve had data for the Cuban batters with mlbam id’s (those in the WBC and those who defected). Checking Clay’s numbers on Cespedes with mine

Peak (Age-adjusted) DT
Season    BA  OB  SA
2008-09  256 315 466
2009-10  263 324 455
2010-11  245 313 472
wtd mean 254 317 465

Oliver
Season    BA  OB  SA
2008-09  269 304 454  
2009-10  288 328 470
2010-11  274 318 494
project  273 315 465

Clay’s projected OPS for Cespedes is 782, mine is 780.

Clay does have 11 season’s worth of data, I have 6 to work with, and he appears to have made adjustments for seasonal differences in league rates. I’m projecting more BA, less ISO and BB%, but overall we’re damn close.