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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Correlation is not causation, example #756,874,127

By Tangotiger, 01:12 PM

An easy way to write a story.

Hat tip: Aaron.


#1    MGL      (see all posts) 2008/10/15 (Wed) @ 13:31

I think the article is somewhat of a parody, but it is well-written (by a journalism student).

One thing though:

The Rays split the first two games of their seven-game series with the Red Sox in the American League Championship Series. Game four will be played tomorrow afternoon in Boston.

Did he forget about game 3?


#2          (see all posts) 2008/10/15 (Wed) @ 14:33

Yeah, I e-mailed the guy and he told me he was trying to be joking about the name-change “issue”. That was somewhat my mistake in, um, misreading (?), since the whole article sounded serious until the 2nd-to-last paragraph, which didn’t process very well in my mind.


#3    Pizza Cutter      (see all posts) 2008/10/16 (Thu) @ 10:10

Actually, one of my pre-season “predictions” was that performing that exorcism would make TB a winning team.  So, not only did getting the H out of there help the team, I’m also psychic.  Not bad.


#4    Pizza Cutter      (see all posts) 2008/10/16 (Thu) @ 10:11

Also, the fallacy that you’re thinking about isn’t “correlation isn’t causation” but “post hoc ergo propter hoc”


#5    MGL      (see all posts) 2008/10/16 (Thu) @ 13:13

Yeah, there really is no “correlation” here except as we use the word in the vernacular.


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