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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, November 21, 2011

BBWAA v IBA

By Tangotiger, 08:15 PM

Here are the points awarded by the BBWAA for the AL MVP, along with the IBA points (indexed so that the sum of IBA = sum of BBWAA):

BBWAA    IBA    Player
280    223    Justin Verlander
242    245    Jacoby Ellsbury
231    296    Jose Bautista
215    170    Curtis Granderson
193    187    Miguel Cabrera
112    76    Robinson Cano
105    81    Adrian Gonzalez
96    17    Michael Young
48    70    Dustin Pedroia
27    33    Evan Longoria
25    39    Ian Kinsler
13    20    Alex Avila
11    6    Paul Konerko
10    25    CC Sabathia
9    21    Adrian Beltre
7    11    Ben Zobrist
7    4    Victor Martinez
7    5    James Shields
5    3    Mark Teixeira
4    6    Asdrubal Cabrera
3    20    Alex Gordon
1    10    Josh Hamilton
1    0    David Robertson
0    24    Mike Napoli
0    13    Jered Weaver
0    45    Split among 73 others

Overall, we see pretty strong agreement.  The BBWAA liked Verlander more than the IBA, and the IBA preferred Bautista more than the BBWAA.  Given that you have 28 BBWAA voters, and you have over 600 IBA voters, it seems to me that picking out 28 random of 600 IBA voters would give you what the BBWAA did occasionally.

The other big standout is that the BBWAA really liked Michael Young, while Mike Napoli was completely shutout by the BBWAA.  That one is probably the biggest standout.


#1          (see all posts) 2011/11/21 (Mon) @ 21:31

Another interesting distinction, to me at least, is the difference in the relative treatment of Cano and Pedroia.


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