from Amazon
Friday, October 06, 2006
Analyzing Manager Moves with THE BOOK
By Tangotiger, 08:00 AM
I loved the whole article. The premise to the analysis:
On the other hand, any gambler going to Vegas to play blackjack will, if he or she is serious about winning, come equipped with a memorized cheat-sheet of when to take a hit and when to stand pat. Should we expect anything less from the man in charge of a baseball team with a $70 million budget? The odds we’re dealing with are small, but so is the house advantage in Vegas. To beat the system, or the other team, is a matter of inches, or, precisely the issue at hand here: a few percentage points. After all, that’s supposed to be the point of conventional baseball strategy in the first place--playing the percentages.