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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, December 21, 2009

Change in scoring rates in the NHL by time left

By Tangotiger, 02:14 PM

Gabriel:

: Scoring rate in last 3 minutes of tied games (goals per 60 minutes)
: Scoring rate in OT (goals per 60 minutes)
: Percentage of games going to OT:
2005-06 4.27 7.52 22.8
2006-07 3.04 6.05 22.8
2007-08 4.64 6.48 22.1
2008-09 3.43 6.59 22.9
2009-10* 2.05 5.44 27.9

This is even more dramatic when you consider that there is 5 to 5.5 goals scored per 60 minutes every season, over the course of a game.  So, it’s an enormous drop here.

Gabriel: how about the goals scored in the last 3 minutes, by score differential: 0,1,2,3+ ?  And maybe split by goals scored, allowed, by the leading team (for 1,2,3+)?

(6) Comments • 2009/12/21
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December 21, 2009
Change in scoring rates in the NHL by time left