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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, October 14, 2011

Chance of making playoffs, based on payroll

By Tangotiger, 10:11 AM

Back in April 2010, I had a quick indicator to determine the chance a team of making the playoffs (or, more accurately, having a playoff-level team, i.e., winning at least 89 games):

Chance of Playoffs = (Payroll Index / 2) - 23

I figured I’d check to see how it worked out for 2011.  Payroll Index is simply the team payroll divided by the league average.  Anyway, let’s see what we get (doing this as we speak):

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(2) Comments • 2011/10/14 • SabermetricsFinances
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October 14, 2011
Chance of making playoffs, based on payroll