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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Blogger decries other blogger for not showing his numbers by… not showing his own numbers!

By Tangotiger, 01:42 PM

I found this particularly amusing, as Gabe quotes the blogger:

In all of these cases, there is a good case to be made for publishing the numbers despite the sample size. In Ehrhoff’s case, he stands out as we ran the numbers separately. I can also see it in his play in that scenario last year and this year. Additionally, Ehrhoff got significant 4on4 TOI which mitigates the sample size issue. 5on3 shows a big deficiency on the Sharks, not singling out any player.

So Gabe publishes the numbers and concludes:

Not only is the difference negligible, but it is also not true that “Ehrhoff...excelled at 4on4.” At least not last season!

I am willing to accept that Christian Ehrhoff could be a particularly good player at 4-on-4.  His 80 minutes at 4-on-4 last year were undistinguished, but, as I mentioned above, such a small sample size has virtually zero predictive value.  And according to the poster, “in Ehrhoff’s case, he stands out as we ran the numbers separately.” I’d love to see these separate numbers because I can’t construct a compelling case in Ehrhoff’s favor.

I love blogger on blogger crime.

(2) Comments • 2010/01/12 • Other SportsHockey
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January 12, 2010
Blogger decries other blogger for not showing his numbers by… not showing his own numbers!