THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Bleg: rest-of-season forecasts

By Tangotiger, 11:19 AM

For those of you ballsy enough to make in-season forecasts, then send me, prior to the first game after the all-star break, your forecasts. This is a call out not only to Colin, Brian, Szym, MGL, but to anyone else. ONLY send me data in this format:
playerId, ERA (or RA9), IP
playerId, wOBA, PA

playerID MUST be either MLBAM or RetroID or bdbID. Nothing else.

Calculate wOBA using these coefficients in the numerator:
0.7: BB+HB (including IBB)
0.9: 1B
1.3: 2B+3B
2.0: HR

Use PA (including IBB, SH, etc) in the denominator.

And, tell me the runs per 27 outs you are using.

tom~tangotiger~net

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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Bleg: rest-of-season forecasts

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