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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Best 2-strike hitters

By Tangotiger, 02:53 PM

Someone asked on BJOL’s site about who is the best 2-strike hitter, and I replied:

For 2-strike hitters, it’s Pujols, Bonds, and Gwynn. At 0-2, I have them Pujols #1, Bonds 5th, Gwynn 6th. At 1-2, I have Gwynn 1st, Pujols 2nd, Bonds 4th. At 2-2, Gwynn, Bonds, and Pujols are top 3. Interestingly at 3-2, those three guys are between 20th and 30th best and a bunch of other non-star are in the mix. It’s an interesting count to see who the leaders are. Since Bonds and Pujols are likely the best hitters at ANY count, I’ll give the nod to Gwynn, relatively speaking. This is based on Weighted On Base Average, and on “through counts” meaning we care what happens to the end of the PA, once the 2-strike count is entered (and not just what happens if the PA ends at a 2-strike count… taking a ball on a 2-strike count is good and should count in the evaluation).

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May 05, 2010
Best 2-strike hitters