THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Baseball simulators in the front offices

By Tangotiger, 10:28 AM

Alan Schwarz quotes an insider:

John Abbamondi, the assistant general manager for the St. Louis Cardinals, says his team and about 10 others use simulations to evaluate potential trades and how they might affect the pennant race.

And then Luke at DMB ran sims on strategies:

force the 2008 Yankees to bat their best hitter and cleanup man, Alex Rodriguez, ninth ... The result? The Yankees scored 747 runs per season… 100 seasons with A-Rod batting fourth averaged 789
...
Forcing a team that hated that maneuver [bunting] (the 2005 Boston Red Sox) to do it a lot cost them 19 runs per season. But making a bunting team (the 2008 New York Mets) avoid it also cost them — by 15 runs on average — suggesting that the Mets’ managers, Willie Randolph and Jerry Manuel, used it quite intelligently.

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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Baseball simulators in the front offices

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