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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Baseball Prospectus’ WARP1 is wrong

By Tangotiger, 11:50 AM

Let’s start off with the defintion of WARP-1:

WARP-1
Wins Above Replacement Player, level 1. The number of wins this player contributed, above what a replacement level hitter, fielder, and pitcher would have done, with adjustments only for within the season.

Then, let’s look at a .500 team.  When I need a .500 team, pretty much without fail, I look for the Houston Astros, and they satisfy my needs.  The scored about as much as they allowed, and won about as much as they allowed.  Let’s take a look at their team:

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(25) Comments • 2006/10/05 • Sabermetrics • Talent_Distribution
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