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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Balanced Playoff Hope

By Tangotiger, 02:50 PM

When it comes to division alignment, I’ve often proposed aligning based on market size.  Put the Yanks, Mets, Redsox, Dodgers in one division, put the Pirates, Royals, DRays in another division, and so on.

Putting the Jays and Rays in the same division as Yanks, Sox, and Orioles hardly seems fair.  Fans of those teams have such little hope.  As I’ve shown elsewhere, just on market size alone, the Yanks are expected to win 99 games.

Of course, if you put the Yanks, Sox, and Mets in one division, it’s also not fair that each of those teams now has the same chance of being in the playoffs as the Pirates, Royals, and Rays.  Ah, but they don’t!

Here are a few sample proposals that would handle this issue. 

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(14) Comments • 2007/12/07 • SabermetricsFinances
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May 16, 2007
Balanced Playoff Hope