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Monday, July 14, 2008
Average Payroll per Position
This is the average from 2003-2007. This means that 43% of payroll has gone to pitching. This is lovely, since I give out 42.9% of WAR to pitching.
43.2% P
8.4% RF
8.4% 1B
7.9% LF
6.8% 3B
6.3% CF
5.8% C
5.5% SS
4.1% 2B
3.6% DH
Unless 2B are way undervalued relative to 3B and 3B are way overvalued, it seems to me that the average 3B is probably a better player than the average 2B. I’m sure there is some under or over valuation going on, especially if you got a great player arb-eligible, and a not-so-good player who is a free agent being paid the same thing. It would seem that the gap couldn’t be that high even considering that bias.
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2B+SS+3B (IF) get 16.5% of the payroll, while the OF gets 22.6%. If you have a 90MM payroll, that means your OF are getting 5.5MM more per team than your IF. Offensively-speaking, the OF probably generate about about 3 more wins than the IF. With a 2.5MM per win, that would imply paying 7.5MM for their offense. Since the gap is only 2.0MM, that probably implies that MLB thinks that the IF is about 2MM better than the OF for fielding, or about 0.8 wins total.
My fielding spectrum gives +0.5 wins for SS/CF, 0 wins for 2B/3B, and -0.5 wins for LF/RF. In all, I’m giving -0.5 wins for the OF and +0.5 wins for the IF, for a gap of 1.0 wins.
It seems that teams are paying based on this fielding spectrum.
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