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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, August 30, 2011

What is the most accurate weather website?

Here are the five-day forecasts for Atlantic City.
Weather.com (The Weather Channel)
Wunderground
Accuweather
Weather.gov

Just for today, the high is 77 to 83F.  One site says partly cloudy, another says partly sunny, and the other says sunny/clear.  Today.

Tomorrow, two says partly cloudy, another says mostly sunny, and a fourth says sunny.  The range is 79F to 85F.

How about Thursday?  One says isolated thunderstorms, 78F; another says partly cloudy, 10% chance of rain, 81F; a third says sun and clouds, 79F.  And a fourth says mostly sunny, 81F.

Friday?  Partly Cloudy, 74; Partly Cloudy 79; Times of Cloud and Sun 80; Mostly Sunny 78.

Saturday?  One’s got showers, and the other 4 don’t.

Please tell me there is some independent site out there that gives us a report card on these weather sites.  Sabermetric forecasting systems have more agreement than these guys. 


(16) Comments • 2011/09/03 • Blogging
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