THE BOOK cover
The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
Read Excerpts & Customer Reviews
If you are a media member and would like a review copy of The Book, please contact Kevin Cuddihy of Potomac Books.

Buy The Book from Amazon

MOST RECENT ARTICLES
MAIL : You ask | We say

Advanced


THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

<< Back to main

Friday, August 25, 2006

The Shift

By , 08:29 AM

When Bonds was Bonds the shift probably did not hurt him all that much overall, or at least the decrease in production from the shift was but a mere drop in the bucket compared to his overall offensive production.

Now that he is no longer Bonds, I am beginning to wonder if the shift is really hurting his overall offensive value.


Most players hit ground balls to the pull side 75 to 80% of the time, IIRC.  It would probably be correct for the defense to shift on them as well, if not for one thing.  They could then lay down a bunt or intentionally try and hit a ground ball to the opposite side enough of the time to render the shift ineffective.

What about Bonds?  Can he not bunt or hit to the opposite side enough of the time to thwart the shift, or is it not “manly” to do so?  I suspect the latter.  He would only need to do so until they stopped shifting and then go back to his regular hitting style.

His BA is just too low for someone with a great batting eye and someone who swings so hard when he gets a good pitch to hit.  I suspect that the shift is really hurting his production and that he could do something about it if he wanted to.

(6) Comments • 2006/08/31 • SabermetricsIn-game_Strategy
Page 1 of 1 pages

<< Back to main


Latest...

COMMENTS

Jan 09 16:41
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season

Jan 09 18:08
Line Drives

Jan 09 18:04
Challenging Nate Silver (and all other forecasters)

Jan 09 17:31
Cheers

Jan 09 17:14
Teaching sabermetrics at school

Jan 09 17:09
Modeling Baseball Player Ability with a Nested Dirichlet Distribution

Jan 09 16:51
The first Hardball Times Annual available for download!

Jan 09 14:44
Vote for the Worst Player in MLB

Jan 09 12:29
Clint Eastwood is Archie Bunker

Jan 09 12:16
Mailbags on Parade