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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, August 03, 2006

The One Thing I’d Like To Know More Of Today

By Tangotiger, 06:46 AM

...Of The Ten Things [Studes] Didn’t Know Last Week

Studes talks about how much Win Shares of “cheap talent” that teams were able to get, without trading for it.  What I would have liked to see is…


How much did this cheap talent cost?  And how many players was this?

It is apparent to me that teams always overspend on big free agents.  Teams always do it this way: what’s my most optimistic guess as to his peak?  Figure out how much that is worth.  Then, assume no dropoff, and a sustainable peak for 5 to 7 years.  Multiply all that.  That’s at the top end.  Maybe at the bottom end, it’s not so bad?  The total WSAB here is about 2 per team, or about 0.6 wins above bench.  How much did that cost the teams?  And how does that compare to the mid-level free agents, and high-level ones?

I think Studes’ weekly feature is the one sports feature I make sure to read on the web.

(2) Comments • 2006/08/03 • SabermetricsFinances
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