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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, February 04, 2008

The future of sabermetrics

The pinnacle of Sabermetrics is the convergence of performance analysis and scouting observations.  To that end, the future of sabermetrics will be the processing of the pitch-by-pitch data.  So, a very micro-analysis.  Bill James looks at the answer to the question from a very macro-perspective:

League-perspective decision making. Looking at decisions based from the standpoint of the league. Simple example: the wild card....

I know why what I’m saying is a candidate for the future of sabermetrics.  I don’t know why what he says is.  That’s not to say that he’s wrong, but I just don’t see what he’s seeing.

I was bothered by this statement, especially in conjunction with a later statement where he says he doesn’t keep up with what around, other than Retrosheet:

Then we created “profiles"… which contain all kinds of information about the teams and the players that you don’t have any other way of knowing, at least now; of course other people will rip us off, and the same information will be appearing on other sites in a matter of months.

I really wish he wasn’t so forceful about his statements here.  Especially when he’s wrong.


(17) Comments • 2008/02/12 • SabermetricsData
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