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The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Sunday, November 02, 2008

The Book - High School Edition

This is NOT any kind of announcement.  But, someone posted a mailbag question that I think deserves its own thread, and allow for discussion among everyone.  A tangential question could also be: what would The Book be at the turn of the 20th century?  Here is the original question in its entirety:


Guys,

I’m a high school baseball coach in California and I have a question I’d love for all three of you to tackle. Even though it might only make a difference of a few runs per season, I’m passionate about trying to manage in the most logical way possible, and I read your blog regularly for insights.

Here’s my question:  In a low-quality high school environment, if you assumed that none of the hitters in the game had the ability to hit home runs, all pitchers are throwing 70-82 mph with average-at-best control and mediocre off-speed pitches, and virtually all runners reached base via singles or walks (at a 1:1 ratio or something near it)...how would you manage?

Would there be any “rules” you’d establish for your players?  Do the sabermetric principles that you discuss on the blog that apply to MLB change slightly when discussing high school? For example, does the “break even” point for stealing bases or taking the extra base change in this environment?  How would you approach or (de?)emphasize bunting at the high school level, assuming no elite players on your team and low-level competition, too?

My initial thoughts are more on the defensive end: I’d want to play aggressively shallow to take away bloop singles and give OFs a chance to prevent runners from taking the extra base.  Should my hitters take more pitches, due to the wildness of the pitchers and their complete inability to hit for power?  I’d love any ideas you can give. Basic topic for reply is “What you do if you coached high school baseball”.

Thank you guys, I am grateful.

(13) Comments • 2009/06/11 • SabermetricsTHE_BOOK
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