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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, July 07, 2009

Talent disparity inter-conference in sports leagues

Tim Marchman:

With the exception of the NFL, where four of its last five champions come from the AFC, regular-season dominance doesn’t seem to matter in the postseason. Since 2005, teams from the stronger halves have won just seven of 13 possible championships in baseball, basketball and hockey.

No reason to exclude the NFL.  That’s 11 wins out of 18 championships, for a win% of 61%, for teams in the stronger conferences.  Marchman also noted these inter-conference regular season win%:
.410 NHL (East v West)
.423 NFL (NFC v AFC)
.434 MLB (NL v AL)
.448 NBA (East v West)

That’s around a .430 win% for the weaker conferences.  No one seems to care that we have lopsided conferences in every league.  I’ve talked in the past how we should have reorganizations of conferences on a regular schedule, say like every 4 or 8 years.  You can hold a draft/drawing like in the World Cup.  No reason that Blue Jays and Orioles have to be in the same division for eternity, is there?


(4) Comments • 2009/07/07 • SabermetricsTalent_DistributionOther SportsFootballHockey
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