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Friday, February 27, 2009
SB and CS run values
I don’t know how many times I’ve seen this, but the run values of SB and CS are NOT +.30 and -.60. The Hidden Game used those values 25 years ago. Pete Palmer has since corrected his values.
The values that I use are roughly +.19, -.46 runs (empircally-derived using 1999-2002 data) and +.18, -.47 (Markov-derived). There is a non-random component, in that the win values are +.018 wins, -.043 wins respectively. Use something close to there. Don’t use .3/.6, as you are citing research that has been rejected by the author himself.