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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, December 11, 2007

SABR’s By The Numbers

The latest is up on Phil’s site.  I just zipped through it.  The one from Wang looks good.  And, he reports something interesting that I was going to do (I love it when someone else has the same idea, and does it before me):

The $/WARP for a fourth year player was $.64 million/WARP, for a fifth year player it was $.83 million/WARP, and for a sixth year player it was $1.29 million/WARP. Remember, it cost $1.525 million for every additional WARP in the free agent market.

0.64/1.525 = 42%.  0.83/1.525= 54%.  1.29/1.525= 85%. 

What those numbers represent is the cost for the 3+, 4+, and 5+ year player, relative to a free agent.  I’ve been using 40%, 60%, 80%, which is fairly consistent with the above set of numbers. 


(32) Comments • 2007/12/17 • SabermetricsFinances
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