from Amazon
Friday, May 09, 2008
Playbook on Maddux v Molina
This is where game theory and PITCHf/x will collide.
Suppose: if you know the batter knows the data, then you make a change to your approach. But, since the batter knows you know he knows, and he knows you’ll change your approach, the batter’ll change his approach. But, what if you don’t know that the batter knows the data? Do you presume the batter doesn’t know and keep pitching the same way? But, if the batter actually does know the data, but the batter knows that you don’t know that he knows, then he’ll cream you.
Question: are you better off if everyone knows, or are you better off taking the chance that he might not really know? That is, might it be to your benefit to know 100% that everyone has the data and compiled in the same way you have it, or is it to your benefit to have that data well-compiled, while the other guy may or may not have it, and you have no way to know whether he has it well compiled?
Someone can insert the Princess Bride youtube clip right about.... now!