from Amazon
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Nate Silver meets Stephen Colbert
Now this is cool. Forget Dan Rather, Keith Olbermann, and whoever else Nate has met. Stephen Colbert? Guest-speaker to the President’s dinner? Wittiest man in America? A one-time presidential candidate? That’s really cool. Nate looked nervous, unlike his very calm demeanor with the other guys. Must be tough to be sparring with a comedian as sharp as Colbert. Colbert was pretty good to Nate. Nate had one good line where he tried to put a baseball analogy to the race for presidency, likening Obama to the Rays, that we’re in the 9th inning down by 2, and Palin was just picked off first base. Must feel great to make a funny guy like Colbert laugh.
Nate has Obama with an 89% win expectancy as of today. Bottom of the 9th, 1 out, down by 2 is a 96% chance of winning. Down by one though is a 90% chance. So, that’s where we are in the race. Bottom of the 9th, 1 out, down by 1 run, McCain batting, Obama pitching.