from Amazon
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Nate Silver
Non-sports post.
The big story may have been Obama, but among our readership, Nate Silver takes a close second. He laid it out that his forecast was for 348.6 Electoral Colleges. The current (and incomplete) official count is 338. There are three states still not ready to divvy up their totals. As of right now, 26 of the remaining 37 would go to Obama, giving him 364. If NC breaks the other way however, the final count will be 349. If that happens, then Nate will take great pride there. Nate also called for a 6% margin of victory, exactly what happened.
Did any other forecaster make a call on Electoral Colleges and margin of victory?
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On his blog, he’s also alluding to big changes forthcoming (presumably Nate will be working with the media in some capacity?). BPro also happens to have an ownership stake in 538.com.