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Monday, January 30, 2012
Marcel Team Standings Forecasts, unofficial
I don’t know where these Marcels come from, but it’s not from me. That said, since I’ve published the formula, it wouldn’t be hard at all to try to recreate them.
One thing I did want to talk about is the “play-in” game for the Wild Card. As far as I’m concerned, since teams 4 and teams 5 will play only amongst themselves, to have the chance to play for the final 4th spot in the playoffs, I do NOT consider that we have 5 teams in the playoffs, but 4.
Now, how far would I go with this idea? If let’s say we had 12 teams qualify post-regular season, with the first 4 teams having a bye, and then the next 8 teams playing amongst themselves for the final 4 spots, what would I do?
I think I would do the same thing. That those 8 teams each earned “half a spot” for the playoffs. You have to make a distinction between teams who get a bye from those who don’t.