from Amazon
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Mail: rWAR v fWAR
> From a completely unrelated area… can you explain to me (or point to
> some piece which does the same) how it is that Rally’s WAR figures differ
> from FanGraphs WAR figures? Ken Davidoff used Rally’s historical WAR data
> (and a 60-WAR threshold) when completing his HoF ballot. As a mental
> exercise, I went to see what this criterion would suggest about those
> already enshrined and those not yet eligible.
Three major differences:
1. Pitchers: fWAR is 100% DIPS-compliant, while rWAR teases out the fielding part with his team fielding stats
2. UZR v TotalZone
3. rWAR has baserunning
Otherwise, the differences would probably be pretty minor, like positional adjustments are a bit different, or something.
The 60 WAR baseline is pretty good. The 50/50 mark for making the Hall of Fame via BBWAA is at around rWAR of 55 or so. So, anyone at 60 WAR should be seriously considered, and 70 WAR is a shoe-in. Edgar, Alomar, Larkin, Raines are in the 65-68 range. Blylven is 92! Anyone in the 50-59 range is where the arguments take place: Dawson, McGriff, etc. This really gets to the heart of the “type” of HOF you want. Or small/big, etc.