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Monday, January 03, 2011
Inflation in Fantasy Keeper Leagues
Persistent reader:
Hi all,
I realize this is off-topic, but I was hoping to benefit from some of the collective intelligence here (I didn’t study stats, and I’m afraid it doesn’t come naturally to me). If it’s inappropriate here, please just tell me to shove off.
That said, I think this is a pretty basic question (probably embarrassingly so), and it involves calculating inflation in fantasy Keeper Leagues.
Based on a lot of information found in Tom’s post and the comments here (http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/the_worth_of_sb_hr_and_all_other_categories_in_fantasy_baseball/), I have created a spreadsheet that uses projections to calculate auction values for my keeper league.
My questions:
1) If, say, my spreadsheet calculates Buster Posey to be worth $25 of the available auction dollars, but I know that he will be kept at a salary of $5, how should I account for that knowledge? Should I remove Posey from the list of available players entirely, thereby removing that available “value,” (along with removing the $5 from the available dollars)?
2) If the league starts 12 catchers, should I then also assume that we will be bidding on only 11 catchers specifically, so as not to change the value of the replacement-level catcher?
I hope these questions make sense.