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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Saturday, July 26, 2008

How much do you think adding Marte and Nady to the Yankees is worth in wins…

By

for the remainder of the season, and how much do you think it adds to their chances of making the post-season, in percent?  I have not tried to figure it out.  People are going to say that this is nearly a “blockbuster trade.”

Damon says:

“It helps out the team, not only now but also in the long run,” Damon said of acquiring Nady. “He’s one of the most underrated players around. I think he’s one of the best outfielders in the game.”

Yeah, of course he is.  He has a .918 OPS!  Wait, I only read the last line of his player card.  My mistake.  He is a 29 year old journeyman corner outfielder with a .793 lifetime OPS and no arm.  That sort of makes him a below average player, doesn’t it?

Well, which is it?  One of the best outfielders in the game, or a below average player?  Is The Dark Night one of the greatest movies of all time, or does it kind of suck?  Do I not really like pistachio ice cream or is it one of my favorite flavors?  Is Jessica Alba kind of homely or is she one of the most beautiful actresses in Hollywood?


(15) Comments • 2008/07/28 • SabermetricsForecasting
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