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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, October 17, 2008

Fans Scouting Report - Full Preliminary Results

It’s not formatted, but you get all the data.  Explanations of a few of the columns:

playerID: that’s the STATS player ID
GP: innings divided by 9, for that team, as of Aug 20 (regardless of position)
PosText: primary position, as of Aug 20
Pos_Specific: the 7 traits, weighted for his primary position
Pos_Neutral: the 7 traits, weighted for each of the 8 positions, then averaged
avgN: number of ballots (which is really number of data points divided by 7)
Agree: agreement level (average is .7)
Regressed: Pos_Neutral, regressed (done by adding 2 ballots of rating of 50)

The winner this year is: CARLOS BELTRAN.  Sorry, Ichiro.  Ichiro ended up in 3rd place, between John McDonald and Endy Chavez.  The rest of the top 10: Brandon Phillips, Scott Rolen, Adrien Beltre, Evan Longoria, Franklin Gutierrez (this is the find of the year) and Mark Ellis.  Other young players in the top 30: Fukudome, Asdrubal Cabrera, Erick Aybar, Adam Jones (what did Seattle do?), Denard Span.

The worst fielders: Estrada, Marlon Anderson, Chris Duncan (yup, Larussa saying that he could be average is the overstatement of the year), Dmitri Young.

The best by position:
C: Yadier Molina, Mauer
1B: Pujols
2B: Ellis, Phillips
SS: McDonald
3B: Rolen, Beltre, Longoria
LF: Willie Harris, Crawford (*)
CF: Beltran, Ichiro (**)
RF: Endy, Gutierrez

(*) Weak-a$$ field of fielders in LF.  I’d make the three OF as: Endy, Beltran, Ichiro.
(**) Though I think Ichiro will move to RF by the time I re-run.

Enjoy…


(15) Comments • 2008/11/23 • SabermetricsFieldingScouting
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