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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, August 11, 2006

Edmonds, and the decline against lefties

This article discusses an old aging ballplayer whining about not being paid out his lottery ticket next year.

A 10 million$ contact against a 3 million$ buyout.  So, do you pay him the extra 7 million$?  He just has to be about 3 wins above replacement, meaning 1 win above average in full-time play.  Seems like a lock, unless the injury has changed his talent level.  Or…


What I’d like to know more of is on the aging pattern of players against the handedness of the pitcher.  Just as a pure gut thing, I tend to believe that the same-side performance would decline faster than the opposite-side performance.  Guys are getting old, so they start to adjust.  We know they walk more year after year, likely the combination of wisdom and receding talent.  They pick their spots, and hope.  Maybe they get outmatched much faster against same-side pitching?

I don’t have a study here for you.  I’m hoping someone else out there has one.

(1) Comments • 2006/08/11 • SabermetricsForecastingPlatoon
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