from Amazon
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Do hard throwers perform better than expected than soft throwers?
By Tangotiger
Rally asks:
What I want to do is see if, given a pitcher’s projection from his MLE, whether fastball velocity tells us any more useful information for his projection. In other words, do fireballers beat their projections? Do soft-tossers fail to live up to theirs?
If you don’t want to read his study, the answer is:
Knowing a pitcher’s velocity doesn’t tell you anything about his chances of success that you didn’t already know by looking at his minor league numbers.