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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, November 11, 2011

Difference between Papelbon and Madson

Papelbon is 3 months younger.  In the last three years, Madson has thrown 2 more games (196 to 194), but thrown 8 fewer innings (191 to 199).  Papelbon has allowed 10 fewer nonHR, but 2 more HR.  Excluding IBB, Madson has allowed 19 fewer walks, but thrown 35 fewer Ks.  Madson has 10 fewer runs allowed.  They both make hitters chase pitches outside the strike zone around the same.

Basically, it would be hard to find two more similarly-outcomed players.  The Phillies are paying for the more certainty Papelbon provides based on 2005-2008, compared to Madson’s 2004-2008. 

And that, really, is the difference.  That, and intangibles.


(2) Comments • 2011/11/12 • SabermetricsPitchers
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