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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, December 22, 2011

Deserved Leverage

I don’t remember this, but this was from two years ago, and talked about again today.

Basically, when you calculate the value of a reliever, you multiply whatever value you get by the Leverage Index he merits based on his talent.  This would be analogous to figuring out a player’s talent level as a fielder, and then multiplying it by the opportunities he sees (and the opps would be tied to his talent, such that a better fielder will find himself at SS, 2B, 3B, CF, and a worse fielder in the corners or 1B).

If you have a crappy fielder in CF, you can’t punish him too harshly because the team happens to put him there.  Think Junior near the end of his career.


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