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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, June 16, 2008

Deprecate Runs Created in favor of BaseRuns

Bill James had said something that he had a to-do list, and that he will bump up some item if there was enough clamor for it.  I added my two cents and he replied:

To-do list? Deprecate Runs Created in favor of Base Runs.
Asked by: Tangotiger
Answered: May 31, 2008

If you can’t convince anybody, how can I?

Funny guy!  I believe that Bill James can move mountains, and the only thing stopping BaseRuns from supplanting Runs Created (the technical versions anyway) is that Bill James hasn’t embraced it.  And maybe the reasons he hasn’t embraced it is that people still buy into Runs Created (the simple version).  That is, the staying power of Runs Created (technical version) is the simplicity of Runs Created (simple version).

This is why I had suggested a while ago, to you guys, that Bill adopt BaseRuns as a technical version of Runs Created.  Clearly, the version he has now bears little resemblance to the simple version.  The technical version probably is more akin to Linear Weights (Estimated Runs Produced) than to the basic version of Runs Created.

Anyway, Bill can move mountains.  And BaseRuns provides a more solid foundation than the current incarnations of Runs Created.

If you are a BillJames subscriber, then tell him that he should finally adopt BaseRuns to supplant Runs Created.


(50) Comments • 2008/08/04 • SabermetricsLinear_Weights
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