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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, November 15, 2011

BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 CG

Verlander and Weaver had the same ERA, but was better in W/L, K and K-BB differential.

Since Shields beat Weaver K and K-BB differential, then Verlander’s victory was based disproportionately on W/L.  And since Weaver beat Shields in ERA, then his #2 placement is based disproportionately on ERA.

As for Shields, well, he pitched 12 more innings than CC, and gave up one less earned run.  Their K and BB numbers are very similar, while CC gave up much fewer HR and had a way better W/L record.  CC did give up a ton more singles (or rather, he was on the mound when a ton more singles were hit).

So, it was Shields’ complete games and lack of singles against CC’s lack of HR and W/L record.


(11) Comments • 2011/11/15 • SabermetricsAwards
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