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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, May 03, 2011

At-Counts

Peter’s chart for 2002-2010.

1. The “through count” is 100 times more useful than the “at count”.  The at-count is saying “if you know the at bat ends on this pitch, what just happened”.  It is so prone to misuse, and so limited in its good use, that you have to be extremely careful.

The through-count is saying “now that I’m in this count, what happens by the time my turn at bat ends”.

I’m glad Peter said he’ll have the better chart next week.

2. Remove all IBB.  They are nothing but noise, and they cause problems.  If you insist on keeping the IBB, then treat them like regular BB in wOBA.

3. Last point: it’s easier to follow if you sort based on hitter’s count to pitcher’s count.  That means, in order:

3-0
3
-12-0
3
-22-11-0
0
-01-12-2
     0
-11-2
          0
-2

UPDATE: Through-counts here.


(12) Comments • 2011/05/03 • SabermetricsBatter_v_Pitcher
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