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The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Sunday, March 02, 2008

Are Consistent Batters Easier to Project than Inconsistent Ones?

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In another thread, where we were discussing Nate Silver’s (BP) interview on SOSH, I mentioned that I thought that the notion that players (like Pierre) who had consistent historical stats were “easier to project” was hooey.  I may have been dead wrong!  Check out this (admittedly incomplete) study I did the other day.  I am lost as to figuring out what is going on and why the results.


(19) Comments • 2008/03/08 • SabermetricsForecastingStreaks
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