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Monday, January 18, 2010
Are Bill James forecasts optimistic?
I remember checking it last year and concluding “yes, or rather “YES!”. Ben, through Derek, seems to disagree. I’ll have to do it more systematically, but I believe that if I take the exact same players and weight them exactly the same, that the Bill James hitters will come in higher than Marcel, Chone, ZiPS, et al, and that the Bill James pitchers will come in lower.
If someone wants to do the work instead of me, by all means, a pot of gold awaits you at the end of the rainbow.