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Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Arrests affects on performance?
Andrew says:
After running the regressions, it does not appear that an athlete’s arrest has a statistically significant effect on his on-field performance, and none of the dummy variables used in my regressions could help explain any change existing in performance following an arrest (p-values > 0.05).
Someone can keep looking, and eventually they may find something, and then all we can conclude is that there IS some effect… but without establishing the degree to which the effect will exist. It’s going to be pretty small. It’s like clutch or anything else. It’s real, it exists, but it’ll hardly actionable.
And that’s really the difference between what a researcher finds and what the real world will ultimately need.
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