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Sunday, March 02, 2008

Are Consistent Batters Easier to Project than Inconsistent Ones?

By , 09:03 PM

In another thread, where we were discussing Nate Silver’s (BP) interview on SOSH, I mentioned that I thought that the notion that players (like Pierre) who had consistent historical stats were “easier to project” was hooey. I may have been dead wrong! Check out this (admittedly incomplete) study I did the other day. I am lost as to figuring out what is going on and why the results.

(19) Comments • 2008/03/08 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting • Streaks

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COMMENTS

May 22 10:35
Minor league baseballs are built to different specifications than major league baseballs

May 22 10:28
Has Bard been squeezed?

May 22 09:05
Lincecum the catcher

May 22 07:12
Extra, extra, read all about it: MLB has inter-conference play this weekend!

May 22 06:37
Firefox, IE, or Chrome?

May 22 00:56
Is the Shift actually working?

May 21 22:25
When to buy Facebook?

May 21 17:18
Zapruder Sudeikis

May 21 16:50
Cory speaks!

May 21 16:03
Combining Rock-Paper-Scissors (RPS) with “What Number Am I Thinking Of”

THREADS

March 02, 2008
Are Consistent Batters Easier to Project than Inconsistent Ones?

May 22 10:35		Minor league baseballs are built to different specifications than major league baseballs
May 22 10:28		Has Bard been squeezed?
May 22 09:05		Lincecum the catcher
May 22 07:12		Extra, extra, read all about it: MLB has inter-conference play this weekend!
May 22 06:37		Firefox, IE, or Chrome?
May 22 00:56		Is the Shift actually working?
May 21 22:25		When to buy Facebook?
May 21 17:18		Zapruder Sudeikis
May 21 16:50		Cory speaks!
May 21 16:03		Combining Rock-Paper-Scissors (RPS) with “What Number Am I Thinking Of”
May 21 15:54		Are bullpen sessions predictive?
May 21 15:25		Defending Mitt, and other events of the day
May 21 10:54		How do you incentivize a power hitter to bunt?
May 20 21:02		Poll: I would have suspended Lawrie/Alomar for ___ part of the season
May 19 23:47		Sponsoring MLB jerseys
May 19 23:23		Brandon McCarthy on feeling like an a$$
May 19 11:03		What is DER, and what can it tell us about the bias in fielding stats?
May 18 21:29		Shyam Das
May 18 21:24		Dodgers’ win reversed because Mattingly did not attest to proper score!
May 18 19:52		RE24
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Sunday, March 02, 2008

Are Consistent Batters Easier to Project than Inconsistent Ones?

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