THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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• 2011 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
• 2010 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
• 2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
• 2008 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
• 2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
• 2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2012

February, 2012

• 10 Jose Molina

• 10 Reader Mail of the Day: Why do we need X years of fielding data?  And what about outliers?

• 10 Performance through the ages

• 10 Hero of the month: Brittney Baxter

• 10 Win expectancy charts used in football… in 1983!

• 10 Dwight Evans

• 09 Psst… wanna intern in Canada?

• 08 Moneyball at Villanova

• 08 MGL: Today on Clubhouse Confidential

• 08 New PECOTA

• 08 Expos breathing

• 08 Batman, the webslinger?

• 07 How much is winning a Cy Young worth to a young pitcher?

• 07 When to purposefully lose the lead

• 07 The will of the people?

• 07 For Your Soul

• 07 Golfers “playing through”

• 07 Bronx Parking

• 06 Pitch Diversity Index

• 06 When is a life entity considered a person?

• 06 Position-switchers

• 06 Interview with Howard Baldwin

• 06 Could this ad run in the U.S.?

• 05 Forecaster’s Challenge: 2012?

• 05 Super Simple Baseball Game

• 05 Flash mob for a SuperBowl commercial

• 05 Is Nate Silver alot more certain than he lets on?

• 04 Complete PITCHf/x classification

• 04 Bill James Baseball IQ app

• 04 Turbo Tax: the Netflix of tax software?

• 04 I stumbled on a great web site

• 03 Werth: How long can a non-CF stay in CF?

• 03 Illusion of numbers

• 03 Danks or Garza?  ToMAYto, ToMAHto?

• 03 Best Player not on Chain Game

• 03 Politicians using baseball players to drum up their own profile

• 03 Aasif Mavi and The Daily Show

• 02 Susan G. Komen

• 02 Casey Kotchman line

• 02 Greinke’s many curveballs

• 02 Verducci Year After Effect: Get over yourself, goodbye

• 02 Tango, Jr.

• 01 Knowing enough about numbers to be dangerous

• 01 Tempered Yu Forecast

• 01 Is the price of “security” really worth it?

January, 2012

• 31 Are relievers being used optimally, compared to 1980?

• 31 Injury database?

• 31 Same media that “suspects” Bagwell + PED is same media that “suspects” Brady guaranteed a Super Bowl

• 31 Dissecting a mystery pitch

• 31 KNUCKLEf/x

• 31 Extra Innings Book

• 31 Baseball International Draft: Puerto Rico

• 30 When is an almost six hour match not too long?

• 30 Spongebob: breaking the Fibonacci rule of pineapples

• 30 Marcel Team Standings Forecasts, unofficial

• 30 If outsourcing is bad then so are industrial robots and the like.

• 29 ULTIMATE BASEBALL THE GAME

• 29 Prince Fielder comparables

• 29 Blast from the Past: Leverage Index Primer

• 29 Favorite sport of Americans

• 29 Did Reds SS shift their positioning with Cordero on the mound?

• 28 Bautista randomly drug tested 16 times?

• 27 Calvin & Hobbes

• 27 Relocated Team Doctrine v Stationary Team Doctrine

• 27 Do relievers today perform better because they have shorter outings?

• 27 Who’s evaluating the 2011 forecasts this year?

• 26 Academic ivory towers and gated databases

• 26 BP2012

• 26 AL v. NL in 2011

• 26 rWAR v fWAR?  No.  rWAR + fWAR.

• 25 Ryan Anderson: Rise and goes under, then Rise as the undercook

• 25 Rod Cross: Smooth patch on a baseball, to get a curve

• 25 PSA: Mariska Hartigay

• 25 Microsoft Word: 2003 to 2007: Styles

• 25 USA Today owns Baseball-Reference?

• 25 Prince Fielder

• 25 Can you walk off the island?

• 24 Psst… wanna work for Trackman?

• 24 Astros hire Mike Fast

• 24 Social Experiments: failing Journalism 101

• 24 Sportsmanship: Federer v Nadal

• 23 When athletes make political statements

• 23 Farm system rankings

• 23 Explaining NFL OT Rules

• 22 We “forget” about Washington & his slaves. Bonds/Clemens & PED ?  And this too shall pass.

• 22 Fielding-Independent Perfect Games

• 21 Forecasted Standings 2012: Clay

• 19 Beisbol Data

• 18 Yu Darvish and the posting system

• 17 Justified: the bad-a$$ show that all the others aspire to

• 17 Projected Arbitration Salaries

• 17 Lincecum will lose his arb hearing

• 16 Greatest players: Jordan, Gretzky, Ruth, Pele, and

• 16 More discussions of players and not contracts…

• 16 Yet another number-cruncher who disregards numbers in favor of watching a game

• 16 Clubhouse Confidential

• 15 The MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference is coming!

• 15 The Garfoose: mouthpiece for Tebow?

• 14 HORSEf/x

• 14 NCAA has a reserve clause?

• 13 SABR + Bloomberg + Fangraphs in Phoenix

• 13 Difference between someone who loves baseball and a Holy Writer?

• 13 The Book and Amazon

• 12 Teams are given budgets

• 12 Lego networks

• 12 Is MLB still draconian?

• 12 MLB ID database

• 11 Cuba Stats

• 11 USSM Dave

• 11 Make Holy Writers publish their ballots

• 11 K rate ages faster for relievers?

• 11 Tim Raines: a player teams truly feared

• 11 Umpire strike zone size

• 11 Poz: National Sportswriter of the Year

• 11 Pedro on the Grady Little game

• 10 Are 50-50 donation drives good or bad?

• 10 How is David Wells any different than Jack Morris?

• 10 NFL v NFLPA

• 10 Next player to pit the old guard against the new guard?  Pettitte?  Or Damon?

• 10 Momentum: tomorrow’s starting pitcher, or a flip of the coin?

• 10 Fighting leads to goals?

• 09 Correlation of pitcher metrics: FIP strikes again

• 09 Hall of Fame results 2012

• 09 Sharp and soft contacted balls

• 09 HOF Tracker

• 09 What is evidence?  Colin v Neyer

• 09 Tyler Clementi’s mother versus “Amelia”

• 06 Polishing raw players

• 06 wOBA example

• 05 Psst… wanna work for the Cardinals?

• 05 Run values by strike zone location

• 05 Hard to beat Marcel’s pitching forecasts

• 05 Zambrano v Volstad

• 05 Discussing HOF candidates

• 04 When the Bible is no longer the Bible

• 04 Why I’d Bet on My Model (and Against My Instincts)

• 03 HOF Laws of Unintended Consequences

• 02 Pay-for-play college

• 02 Professor Tangotiger

• 02 NHL ticket revenue

• 01 Fun fact of the day: a closer with a 7.11 ERA

• 01 Ron Polk

• 01 Poz discovers FC Lane

• 01 San Jose: Oakland v San Francisco

• 01 Rebooted Hall Of Fame

2011

December, 2011

• 31 HOF ballot collector

• 31 Clock-less basketball

• 31 Homegrown Teams

• 31 Compassionate Referee

• 30 Pseudonymity

• 30 Jack Morris is Brad Radke?

• 30 Quotes of 2011

• 29 Does a high-speed fastball-slider pitcher need a third pitch?

• 29 Edgar: an all-time hitter

• 29 Wanna work for the Astros?

• 29 Ricky Gervais infiltrates the one percenters by remaining a 99er

• 29 Eric Nusbaum will earn our BBWAA ulcers

• 29 Murray Chass: Selig’s Bud, Stan Kasten, is the favored new Dodgers owner

• 29 Most inconsistent HOF ballot this year?

• 29 Worst-fielders since 2002

• 29 ESPN: Whither hockey?

• 29 Psst… wanna work at MLBAM?

• 28 Irresistible patience meets immovable impatience

• 28 Thank you for 2011

• 28 From the mother’s basement, to the “sabermetricians upstairs”

• 28 Start of the LOOGY era

• 27 Poz’s implicit rule of thumb for HOF

• 27 “I’m Keith Hernandez”

• 23 “We can’t even pass a tax cut?”

• 23 Today in strawman

• 23 Louis C.K.

• 23 Bane of Canada: language

• 23 Sending runner on 3-2 count

• 23 Transaction interface

• 23 Clubhouse Confidential - Glossary

• 23 4 questions about a hypothetical pitcher…

• 22 Deserved Leverage

• 22 Banal, mean-spirited, dated jokes: LGBT

• 22 John Danks

• 22 “Acquiring Power Isn’t More Valuable When a Team Has None”

• 21 Poz on HOF Candidates

• 21 Poll: Yu, Felix, Strasburg, Kershaw?

• 21 Yu Forecast

• 21 Alan Nathan’s site

• 21 Hit and Run

• 21 Psst… wanna intern for the Orioles?

• 20 WPA on bunts

• 20 Bill Conlin

• 20 Worst hockey game of all-time?

• 20 Market forces v Central Planning

• 19 A great online chat with the new Astros GM!

• 19 Who’s your candidate?

• 19 Speculations and suspicions: The Yu Darvish Story, Jeff Bagwell, and being a sports “reporter”

• 18 Playing time levels for the Hall of Fame

• 18 Overturning a positive test

• 18 Latos and park factors

• 18 Posnanksi’s readers are smart

• 17 Too much is made of camaraderie and chemistry and all that stuff

• 16 Paterno: what he said he knew, and when he said he knew it

• 16 Bonds gets 30 days home confinement for the crime of taking too long to answer

• 16 MLB Network oddball videos

• 16 Ken Dryden, head injuries, and Grantland, part 2

• 16 Bunting for a hit

• 15 Fantastically quick change in view of DADT

• 15 NFL Rules and Competition Committee

• 15 Video Rulebook

• 15 Six members of the BBWAA suspected of plagiarism, but allowed to vote for Hall of Fame!

• 15 Lies, damned lies, and statistics: The 6 Waltons (Walmart) greater net worth than bot. 30% combined

• 15 Yu is: equal parts Felix, Zimmerman, Cueto

• 15 DIPS and BABIP

• 14 Math fun: series odds

• 14 Can the victim of abuse be an enabler?

• 14 New rules in MLB

• 13 Players self-policing

• 13 Dwight Evans: “I agree with WPA, Carbo’s HR had more impact than Fisk’s!”

• 13 Supporting the eye-test?

• 12 This week in chart failure

• 12 Ryan Braun and Bayes

• 12 Minimum number of years for immortality

• 12 This year’s contender for sanctimonious eloquence

• 12 What happens when the supporting actor usurps the main actor?

• 12 Reason computer programs are inferior to humans for college rankings: lack of critical human emotion

• 12 Jeff Luhnow, blogger-friendly

• 12 More Tim Raines HOF

• 12 What is Ozanian of Forbes saying here?

• 12 You’ve heard of teams merging?  How about teams splitting?

• 11 Differing standards for MLB and NFL regarding steroids

• 11 Fight site

• 11 Origins of violence in hockey

• 10 Pujols and Iannetta versus Abreu and Mathis

• 10 “We’re not racist! We just like saying derogatory terms against black people for fun!”

• 10 Inside the Friedman/Moore negotiations

• 09 Beer prices, for each NHL arena

• 09 Longoria II

• 09 Blocking trades

• 09 How you can make numbers lie

• 09 Velocity as a scouting variable

• 09 Irrational despondency

• 09 This week in hockey

• 08 Mike Matheny: Saber-friendly manager?

• 08 Crappy save percentage, just by luck?

• 08 Where have the Scot Shields of the world gone?

• 08 Lining up to buy value-less stock?

• 08 Another year, another Tim Raines plea

• 08 Jack Morris: Babblefest 2011

• 07 Quick WAR calculator

• 07 Theo Fleury 1, Graham James 0

• 07 Legit news outlets?

• 07 Quality of pitchers by count

• 07 Why do people (including GM’s) insist on talking about houses as if they had no mortgages?

• 07 Sons of Anarchy: Dallas’ Bobby Ewing

• 07 PITCHf/x leaderboards that span multiple seasons?

• 06 Should Buehrle and CJ Wilson even be mentioned in the same sentence?

• 06 This week in zero-tolerance golf rules

• 06 Yu Darvish is Colby Lewis?

• 06 Occam’s razor

• 06 Increase in pitcher workload

• 06 Sports fails in geography

• 06 Jayson Werth, CF

• 06 Whither Albert Pujols?

• 05 Realignment into four conferences

• 05 PITCHf/x on Fangraphs update

• 05 Are Mets’ Nick Evans and Ruben Tejada “all that” as fielders?

• 05 Is Dirk Hayhurst looking for a mainstream media job?

• 05 Congress elects Ron Santo to HOF

• 05 “He won’t be worth it in the last two years of his deal”

• 04 Arbitraging pennies for its base copper value

• 04 Fighting in the NHL

• 02 SEC v Marlins

• 02 Invisible Men

• 02 Is selling part of the game of baseball that you love?

• 02 Best of BPro Vol I and II

• 02 Improper Eject of Flash Drive

• 01 Bobby V and SaberM!

• 01 Is Mrs. DeJesus the Lebron James of baseball?

• 01 Prediction 13 years into the future

• 01 Action Comics 2.1MM$

• 01 Let the Crowd-Sourcing begin

• 01 Is there a goalie skill?

• 01 CBA: Are the Cardinals a small-market team?

• 01 Head coach carousel

• 01 Belichick tells reporters to get their noses out of their spreadsheets and watch a game

November, 2011

• 30 Menage a Trois Soccer

• 30 Bobby V. IV

• 30 Crow 17

• 30 CBA: draft lottery

• 30 Swing area predictability

• 29 Players take responsibility as a role model seriously…

• 29 Forecaster’s Challenge: Final 2011 Results

• 29 The existence of outliers doesn’t preclude luck as the cause

• 29 End of labor peace in MLB in 5 years?

• 29 Overlaying outcomes onto park configurations

• 29 At what point will baseball prospects leave baseball?

• 29 CBA cap pool rules

• 29 Linear Weights primer

• 29 How often is an above-average pitcher’s best days behind him?

• 29 NBA or FIBA: who has the power?

• 28 Forecaster’s Challenge 2011: Results (preview)

• 28 Why is there no mercy rule in basketball?

• 28 Forecasting 300 wins

• 28 How many wins do people think Bonds deserves knocked out of his WAR?

• 28 Gio v Edinson

• 28 CBA: changing landscape of compensation rules

• 28 Roger Clemens, 1986: Not that good a year?

• 27 Murray Chass v Bobby Valentine

• 26 Which team was the most fun to follow in 2011 regular season?

• 26 Expos Tribute Video

• 25 Bittersweet Symphony: best Jagger/Richards song of alltime?

• 24 UZR for NHL shooters

• 24 Other People’s Players

• 23 CBA: How much signing bonus pool should each team be allocated?

• 23 Halladay better than Verlander?

• 23 Research conclusions have to be Bayesian

• 23 Did the Phillies really get nailed with the Papelbon signing, in light of the new CBA?

• 23 Twitter: Leverage

• 22 Selective end points AND data mining AND publishing bias rearing their ugly heads again…

• 22 Is Pepper Spray a Vegetable?

• 22 Tango’s Lab: forecasting players who switch teams

• 22 BBWAA and Michael Young

• 22 Triumphant return of Sid the Kid

• 22 How seriously should we take the forecasting systems?

• 22 CBA: what’s new

• 22 HITf/x: (vertical) launch angle

• 21 BBWAA v IBA

• 21 Did BPro change their WARP calculation?  Or, is Felix not a superstar pitcher?

• 21 BPro readers votes: #1 not sabermetrics, #2 sabermetrics

• 21 Buyout options… before you work!

• 21 If at first you don’t succeed (at getting p=.05), try and try again (until you luck into it)

• 21 Play-In game, retro-history

• 21 Clay’s housekeeping

• 21 Runs Above Strikeout

• 18 What is Ricky Nolasco’s talent with men on base?

• 18 Former athletes figureheads as owner

• 18 Start with the regression, then try to interpret it

• 18 Courtesy votes

• 18 To pinch-hit or not?

• 18 All-Time Franchise Team

• 18 Swing area

• 17 Attribution v Actuality

• 17 BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 IP

• 17 Is signing a new star player like building a new stadium: you get fans to come for the novelty?

• 17 Moneyballing Football

• 17 Chass v ESPN

• 17 Migration interactive chart

• 17 A single person can’t set a good line

• 17 Odds of Cliff Lee reaching 300 wins?

• 16 Curiously Long Absence

• 16 Jack The Ripper

• 16 Best media campaigns of the year, in the world of sports

• 16 Psst… wanna work for the Reds?

• 16 HITf/x: (horizontal) batted ball speed

• 16 Brian Kenny

• 16 McQueary did more than the Grand Jury reported?

• 15 How do you (quickly) compare contracts of differing lengths and amounts?

• 15 This week in silly rules

• 15 BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 CG

• 15 Trackman Leaderboards

• 15 It’s impossible to create a terrible uber-stat

• 15 Please explain to me: NBA v NHL

• 14 Trying to explain Win Probability

• 14 Bob Costas, journalist

• 14 Raines and Rickey

• 14 Replacement-level: playing time

• 14 BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 FIP

• 14 Shame of College Sports

• 14 Future managers discuss numbers

• 14 People who had never watched Star Trek (until recently)

• 13 Blackjack Statisicians

• 13 UZR, Linear Weights and player forecasting models: meet the Ohio education system

• 12 Pitching is simple… Brian Bannister made it complicated

• 11 Difference between Papelbon and Madson

• 11 Performance in year after PED use

• 11 Redsox, before Penn State

• 11 This week in silly court-filings

• 11 Rationalizing irrationality, part 2

• 10 Psst… wanna work for the Pirates?

• 10 Foul ball skill

• 10 ESPN Ombudsman heavily criticizes ESPN

• 10 Cold war is over

• 09 Child Rapists

• 08 Who surprised Vegas?

• 08 Thriller: (temporary) theft of the master records

• 08 Numbers don’t (necessarily) represent the performance of the player

• 08 Rates without Sample Size

• 08 As the Redsox Turn

• 08 Sabremetrics circa 1983

• 07 Is this the kind of manager you want for your team?

• 07 Banning teams

• 07 “Math scares people”

• 07 Yogi Berra

• 07 Windows Virus - privacy.exe

• 04 Contract crowd-sourcing

• 04 Is this line linear or polynomial?

• 04 Rick Peterson / Bloomberg Sports

• 04 Soccer per-game attendance now above NBA/NHL

• 04 Jose Reyes

• 04 How to find a manager

• 03 Value of scarcity

• 03 Errata

• 03 Psst… wanna work for the Mariners?

• 03 Joey Votto or Matt Moore?

• 03 Does Eric Hossmer play too close to the bag?

• 03 Psst… wanna work in MLB?

• 02 Bill James Baseball Analyst archives

• 02 Fleeting nipple that just won’t go away

• 02 Bill Russell v NCAA

• 02 What did the Fans think of the Gold Glove winners?

• 01 Shaq v Kobe

• 01 Fielding Bible 2011 - Complete Vote Tally

• 01 Yu Darvish is Yu Darvish

• 01 Sabermetric moves of the 2012 pre-season

• 01 Paying CC to terminate his opt-out option

• 01 Are slot bonuses like the speed limits on banks: warning only?

• 01 Fans Scouting Report: players on multiple teams

• 01 Fans Scouting Report 2011: final week

October, 2011

• 31 RE24/boLI

• 31 When does it become racially insensitive?

• 31 NFL simulations

• 31 Overcrowding the ballot splits the votes and no one wins

• 31 Top 50 Free Agents

• 31 Kristi Dosh now on ESPN

• 28 Colbert SuperPAC SHH

• 28 Was Cruz not deep enough in the 9th inning?

• 28 World Series 2011 Game Thread: Final Game

• 28 Last week in crazy golf rules

• 28 This week in sexism

• 28 How do heavy players age?

• 28 Hall of Fame prediction model

• 28 Make the sure out at first, or try for a play at home?

• 28 World Series 2011: Game 6 post-game

• 27 Aramis Ramirez

• 27 Batter-pitcher matchups

• 27 Baseball is about driving the first good pitch you see, not waiting to get into a hitter’s count

• 26 Where do pitchers pitch to Pujols?

• 26 Batman: Arkham City

• 26 Meaning in hot and cold zones?

• 26 Was Craig running in the 9th on the 3-2 count correct?

• 25 Hardball Times Annual 2012: ready for order!

• 25 Practice swings with same or lighter bat, not heavier bat

• 25 Double Walk to replace IBB

• 24 2011 WS discussion: Game 5

• 24 Why a 7-game series?

• 24 Intangible diamonds

• 24 Small sample sizitis

• 23 2011 WS discussion: Game 4

• 23 Passive-aggressive hitters

• 23 This week in smart NCAA rules

• 22 “Fangraphs is now even awesomer”

• 22 Batter-pitcher i[Apple] app

• 22 Managing the 2011 World Series: Game 3

• 21 A Warning from MGL!!

• 21 Jared Winely: I hate you for making me side with Mike Francessa

• 21 Bill James on NPR

• 21 Performance in tied games

• 20 Chance of scoring from any base/out

• 20 Manager moves in the 2011 WS: Game 2

• 20 INTROf/x

• 20 Economic structure to resolving a work stoppage

• 20 How do leadoff hitters approach the 1st and 9th innings of a tied game?

• 19 A player after my own heart!

• 19 Manager mistakes in the 2011 WS: Game 1

• 19 Want to win the World Series?  Don’t give up more runs than the league average

• 19 NHL +1

• 19 When to walk a Bondsian-Pujols

• 19 Team that’s losing plays better

• 19 Playoff home advantage, NL/AL

• 19 Kelly Johnson’s approach to hitting

• 18 Times through the order with the 9th inning removed…

• 18 What The Book has said about starting pitchers

• 18 Outcomes by fastball speed

• 18 Summarizing late inning starter and reliever performance…

• 18 Transferring files to new computer

• 18 Men-osyllabic Moneyball

• 18 Landing/crossing spot of uncaught pitches

• 17 Visualizing wOBA

• 17 Not all fielding opportunities are created the same

• 17 Starters and Relievers in the 9th Inning and Score Differential

• 16 GMAT Hacks

• 16 Freeman v Pena, via UZR

• 14 Performance by position of the Sun

• 14 Proper compensation for Epstein?

• 14 Banner Years, Reverse Banner Years: Batter Walks

• 14 Poz on playoff structures of various leagues

• 14 Chance of making playoffs, based on payroll

• 14 Levi Raines, Jr

• 14 Return on high school players drafted, by age

• 13 Subverting the Intentional walks

• 13 Sabre-office

• 13 Relieving in high-leverage and low-leverage situations

• 13 More interesting data for starters entering the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings…

• 13 When the media lies

• 12 Some interesting decisions in tonight’s DET/TEX game…

• 12 Eclectic mailbag

• 11 Remaining value of contracts

• 11 Starting Pitcher on a great day v Closer

• 11 Bloomberg Sports + Fox broadcast

• 10 Demon computer in baseball

• 10 Does it make any sense for a player to be “untouchable?”

• 10 Goodbye to you, WPA for starting pitchers

• 10 Fighters and fighting-advocates verbally fighting

• 10 When to replace a printer?

• 10 Auctioning dates… but not for charity

• 10 Tigers batting lineup

• 10 Fangraphs customizations

• 10 No A+ prospects?

• 09 How do starters perform by inning?

• 09 How not to do a study

• 09 This week in silly NCAA rules

• 09 How do pitchers do each time through the order?

• 08 How do great starting pitchers pitch the 4th time through the order?

• 08 Running out ground balls in the post season…

• 08 Poll: I saw the ENTIRE Halladay/Carpenter duel and I thought:

• 08 Moneyscout

• 07 Worst managing ever?

• 07 Free agents and BMW’s

• 07 Simpsons’ Harry Shearer speaks!

• 07 Run Expectancy, Pitchers and Pinch Hitters

• 06 Hot hand free throws

• 06 When one smart guy is outsmarted by an even smarter guy

• 06 Why can’t Tampa support its team?

• 05 “Everybody Loves Joe Posnanski”

• 05 Defensive Indifference with a 2-run lead and only 1 out

• 05 Three-area strike zone

• 05 If you were poor, would you fake your birthdate?

• 05 “Why Baseball Info Solutions pitch location data is the best in the industry”

• 05 ESPN’s QB rating system or traditional Passer Rating?

• 05 Baby Tango

• 05 Amanda Knox

• 04 John Smoltz announcing the post-season

• 04 Rick Porcello and his “sinker”

• 04 If you want to see some fairly knowledgeable fans completely misunderstanding statistical theory…

• 04 Terrible managing?

• 04 PITCHf/x v BIS

• 04 Among the best players of their sport, are NBA players the most underpaid?

• 04 #bip

• 03 Oldest ace relievers

• 03 Umpire Ejection Data

• 03 Psst… wanna work at ESPN?

• 03 Phil v Warren Buffett: Phil on a TKO!

• 03 When does fighting occur?

• 02 Poll: how to credit a play against a pitcher when involving his fielders

• 01 Mike Schmidt speaks

September, 2011

• 30 MLB, playoffs, and streaming

• 30 MVP

• 30 List: best to worst team in sports

• 30 Ken Dryden, head injuries, and Grantland

• 29 Jack Wilson: the ballplayer’s tragedy

• 29 Do teams put the better fielder at 2B or 3B?

• 29 Payroll v Wins, in the Moneyball era (2002-2011)

• 29 Greatness of baseball

• 29 Globe Glove winner 2011: Troy Tulowitzki

• 29 Retrosheet’s inner workings

• 29 Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which youngster do you sign for the next 4 years?

• 28 Kershaw v Strasburg

• 28 Matt “anti-DIPS” Cain

• 28 Players having greater respect for other

• 27 Do TV commentators pay any attention to the game?

• 27 Catcher Framing Skill, part WOWY

• 27 Phil schools Freakonomics

• 27 Do the Pittsburgh Pirates really want a salary cap?

• 27 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Dodgers

• 26 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Nationals

• 26 Mariners consortium

• 26 The greatest game ever pitched!

• 25 WOWY and catcher framing

• 24 Moneyball: one minute review

• 24 Moneypuck

• 23 Watching Moneyball with Bill James

• 23 Winnipeg Jets

• 23 “The Moneyball revolution from someone who helped it happen”

• 23 Sabermetrico: the world domination continues!

• 23 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: D’Backs

• 23 What’s good for local politics is not good for federal politics: Ron Paul v Gov Christie

• 23 Sports Economics research rankings

• 23 Sabermetric scorn for the triple crown?

• 22 Jason Whitlock and Bill Baer

• 22 Adjusted Plus/Minus

• 22 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Angels

• 22 Cy Bayes

• 22 Moneyball review from Poz

• 22 Changeup pitchers harder to hit

• 22 Ryan Howard: Elite averageness

• 21 Brian Burke’s team

• 21 Dose of reality

• 21 New Gold Glove rules

• 21 Ballad of Bill James

• 21 Talking pitching

• 21 Jose Bautista, linguist: “Take your nose out of the dictionary and watch the game!”

• 21 Catcher Framing Skill, part next

• 21 Do art collectors know art?

• 21 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Phillies

• 21 Mariano Rivera, LI, Fangraphs, Rally

• 20 FIP on the cover of SI ?!?

• 20 MVP 1987

• 20 UZR yapfest

• 20 Player safety? Better late than never

• 19 Marcel: the only truly worldwide forecasting system

• 19 Fans Scouting Report and the position-neutral aspect

• 19 Tennis/golf rankings… for pitchers!

• 19 Is where you play on the field conducive to better hitting performance?

• 19 Is where you hit in the lineup conducive to better performance?

• 18 Do hitters and pitchers perform better during the day or at night?

• 16 Bias discussion

• 16 Sabermetric coach

• 16 Do the Tigers have a 100% chance of making the playoffs?

• 16 Puck Luck

• 16 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Marlins

• 16 College bat impact

• 15 Born-again

• 15 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: A’s

• 14 Shelley Duncan

• 14 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Rangers

• 14 One punch

• 14 Markov 2: Gaussian Elimination

• 14 Game-set-match, or just points?

• 14 “Behind the Seams: The Stat Story” on MLB Network

• 13 Hilarious (inane) TV commentary

• 13 Ultimate in survivor bias

• 13 Chris Carpenter: money on the table?

• 13 Momentum is this inning’s reliever

• 13 Mike Cameron: sabermetric darling

• 13 Minor League data

• 13 Mariano: 599?  No, 641

• 13 Negro League Database

• 13 Draft Order and Major League Pitching Performance…

• 12 EA NHL 2012

• 12 On Defense: Subjective Data, Objectively Considered

• 12 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Astros

• 12 Tennis clock

• 12 Poz on WAR and pitcher wins

• 12 Cain v Shields, part 2

• 11 I cut the pie, you choose the slice

• 11 Out-of-synch PITCHf/x?

• 11 Does Vegas know how to set the total runs over/under line?

• 10 What happens to a pitcher’s HR rate year to year?

• 09 What happens to a pitcher’s BABIP year to year?

• 09 ESPN BABIP Video

• 09 One mph twist

• 09 Curveball as first pitch to start the game

• 09 Spread in talent

• 09 Distribution of wealth

• 08 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Padres

• 08 iTunes baseball app

• 08 CC, efficient pitcher

• 08 Players take a stand, walk out

• 08 Only the nose knows

• 08 Does Phil Hughes know what to do when starting in an 0-2 count?

• 07 To Hippeaux

• 07 UZR bias by FB%

• 07 Death of “The Faster Times”

• 07 Does “value” mean “value to reaching the playoffs”?

• 07 What would happen if you had a team with no sluggers?

• 07 WAR glossary

• 07 Consistency value

• 07 Physics of baseball in the rain

• 07 Russian hockey team killed in plane crash

• 07 Where do umpires position themselves?

• 07 Does a jump in 2nd half team performance mean something for next year?

• 07 Ken Singleton and plate discipline

• 07 Strasburg 2010 v 2011

• 07 Reader Mail of the day: WPA fails as story stat?

• 06 What WAR is… what WAR is not

• 06 “Numbers Never Lie”

• 06 Bad statistics

• 06 Disincentive to fan riots

• 06 “WAR doesn’t work”

• 06 Legal ruling on the Phillies/Marlins HR/interference call

• 05 Pitcher wins

• 05 Re-examining the sac bunt by a pitcher with 1 out and runners on 1st and 3rd

• 05 What’s up with the interference call in Florida?

• 02 Schilling and Larkin on WAR

• 02 Correlation of hitting metrics

• 01 This week in insane celebration: pointing to God

August, 2011

• 30 What is the most accurate weather website?

• 30 Physics of tennis courts

• 30 Adam: Dunn and out?

• 30 QB aging patterns (and aging pattens in general)

• 29 When sabermetric teams go wrong!

• 29 MoneyCrosse

• 29 Was Irene overcovered?

• 29 Basketball Players League

• 29 AJ, relief pitcher?

• 29 Poz and WPA: the story stat

• 28 This week in golf insanity: no mulligan’s allowed!

• 28 Pitchers for MVP?

• 27 Barry Bonds convinction of rambling for 75 seconds before telling the truth: upheld

• 26 Psst… wanna work at Fangraphs?

• 26 Reduce speed, improve command

• 26 According to Christopher Gasper of Boston.com, HR is a crappy stat

• 26 Yeah, but how many runs does so-and-so save at first base by virtue of his scooping ability?

• 25 Fastest white guy?

• 25 Trying to score from 3B, down by 1, with 1 out left in the game

• 25 Virus attack?

• 25 Post-season odds

• 25 Picasso Theory

• 25 Value of a called pitch

• 25 Cot’s Contracts Compensation Pages integrated with BPro

• 25 Who owns what beer and soda?

• 24 Best non-closer season among relievers?  How about two of them… this year!

• 24 R & D Camp

• 24 Poll: Equivalent Players

• 23 Scouting Report 2011 - By the Fans, For the Fans

• 23 Yankees or Phillies to win the World Series?  Even odds

• 23 MPP: Most Productive Player Award

• 23 Evaluating pitchers as a concept: average, replacement level, or just totals?

• 22 LEGO Games: One Minute Review

• 22 Data or analysts?  How about creativity?

• 22 When you ignore the most important variable, you get this list

• 22 How to convert an ordered list into a dollar-value list

• 22 From last to first

• 22 Jon Heyman’s uncertainty level in predictions

• 22 Larry David is juicing… not there’s anything wrong with that

• 21 Did Jered Weaver sell himself short?

• 20 AJ Burnett?

• 20 The value of a metric is not in its consistency, but in how it correlates to what we want

• 19 Forecaster’s Challenge - current results

• 19 Johan Santana and the trade that wasn’t (Jon Lester?  Jacoby Ellsbury?)

• 19 Pitcher X is 13-4, 2.00 ERA, 153 IP.  For CY YOUNG voting, you place him right BELOW which pitcher?

• 19 Replacement level and MVP

• 19 Wildcard: reward or punishment

• 18 Potomac Books has paid us our royalties

• 18 Poll: Player X created 105 runs in 105 games. AFTER which player would you slot him in, wrt MVP?

• 18 Mailbag: Replacement level example calculation

• 18 Frenchy: Replacement-level player no longer replacement-level

• 18 “That was for Duane Kuiper”

• 18 Bayes = Regression Toward The Mean: proof

• 17 Brandon Morrow: I’d rather look at the nerd stats

• 17 If you can avoid using Linear Weights, and you can use BaseRuns, for pitchers, do so

• 17 How to get a GM job (NHL)

• 17 Everything you wanted to know about Hit Batter locations but were afraid to ask

• 17 Regression toward the mean - proof

• 16 Little League World Series excesses

• 16 Jacoby Victorino

• 16 Bill James site updated

• 16 Fleeting moment, or epitaph: 600 HR?

• 16 Billiards baseball

• 15 Eddie Gaedele II

• 15 Matt Harrington

• 15 What’s happened when a first rounder has not signed?

• 15 Ted Tevan, RIP

• 15 WOWY Managers

• 15 Bourjos

• 15 WPA: giving numeric support to your frustration as a fan

• 15 Run Expectancy and Markov Chains

• 14 Injury days unused because of retroactive placement

• 14 The extra playoff team

• 13 Should you throw a sinker at Coors?

• 13 Magnus force primer

• 13 BABIP primer

• 13 Monopoly: simulator and Markov chain

• 12 Why do we apply adjustments to ratios and not rates?

• 12 Joey Votto, saberist

• 12 Argument 101 fail

• 12 Jayson Stark Tracer

• 12 How to sell a stat

• 12 Move over Jim Bouton’s Ball Four… make way for Squeegee’s Strike Three

• 12 World Series WPA

• 12 Chance after chance after chance

• 12 Greatest use of Win Expectancy chart ever

• 12 Pre-season NFL or playoff-chase MLB?

• 12 Bad pitch selection

• 11 RBI lies

• 11 What happens to Brandom Morrow late in the game?

• 11 Sabermetrics broadcaster

• 11 Strasburg disdainful at immaturity of… 13yr old boy

• 11 Potomac Books Struggles to Pay Writers

• 11 Belated congratulations to Dan Uggla’s impressive summer performance!

• 11 Transacation fees and no-trade clauses

• 10 Dan Uggla has a .345 AVG over the last 30 G: why does it matter that he had at least 1 H in each G?

• 10 Correlation is not causation (no matter how much you want to use regression to ignore otherwise)

• 10 Five-day rest rotation

• 10 Cracking the scratch-lottery algorithms

• 10 Basic wOBA?

• 10 Stealing signs in Toronto?

• 10 Dontrelle “Lightning” Willis

• 10 What does Josh Tomlin throw?

• 09 Rays v Tigers: Common Opponents

• 09 Artist v Scientist

• 09 Impact of injuries on future contract

• 08 Shifts

• 08 FIP mainstream examples

• 08 Sabermetrics as a religion?

• 08 Downgrades: past reflection or true talent estimate?

• 08 WAR comparison

• 07 Bayes history

• 07 Strasburg v Liriano (as rookies)

• 07 “Trust me!  This uber-stat is great!”

• 06 Bottom of 9th: if you are not the tie-ing run, then don’t try to steal third base

• 06 What happens after a pitcher has established his greatness?

• 05 Poll: Strasburg 2012 (Two polls)

• 05 When Official Scorers Attack!

• 05 Quirks in lotteries

• 05 Half-a-season of NBA?  Great idea!

• 05 Scouting Fielding

• 05 Six-man baseball

• 05 Indirect v direct standardization

• 04 New QB rating from ESPN

• 04 Basestealing by breakeven point

• 03 Psst… wanna write for the Hardball Times Annual?

• 03 Boycotting Dorchester Books

• 03 DIPS: nonpitchers as pitchers

• 03 RIP Billy Beane, genius; Welcome Billy Beane, average guy

• 03 Windows Admin: Flash-drive set as read-only

• 02 Why does PECOTA love Felix and hate Verlander?

• 02 Do Umpires Give Preferential Treatment To Some Players?

• 02 Strasburg v Ackley

• 02 Sabermetric Cars

• 01 Emma Span: #1

• 01 Economists are just like regular fans when it comes to baseball

• 01 Taxes as entitlements

• 01 Verlander complains?

• 01 The Book authors seeking outside counsel licensed in NJ or VA

July, 2011

• 31 Murray Chass v Post through Halper v Nash

• 29 Origin of The Wave

• 29 Expos smoke, no Expos fire

• 29 Game Score

• 28 Tango’s Lab: Deconstructing FIP

• 28 Odds of streak and streaks

• 28 Human pitch and computer pitch

• 27 El Jered’s BABIP

• 27 OPS and OPS+

• 27 Meals and default calls

• 27 Tango’s Lab: Relief advantage on inherited/bequeathed runners

• 27 Working harder (or easier) to achieve the same result

• 27 El Jered

• 27 Bayes ET

• 26 Tango’s Lab: wOBA by base state

• 26 ESPN readers v ESPN readers

• 25 Song of the day

• 25 Maple Leaf logo

• 25 Psst… wanna work for the Cleveland Indians?

• 25 Hope over fear

• 24 Players who seemingly “lost their power” for no apparent reason.

• 24 My issue with regression equations

• 24 Super Powers Chart

• 21 Legacy of franchise moves

• 21 Effect of foul area on strikeouts

• 20 Distributions in sports

• 19 Did Jon Heyman fail ECON 101 ?

• 19 This week in insane golf rules: the hole in one that wasn’t

• 19 SIERA, updated

• 19 Arbitration rule: 40/60/80

• 18 Who plays with who

• 18 Regression numbers in NHL

• 18 Gambling at the Hall of Fame

• 18 The “Balance” theory

• 15 K-Rod’s option

• 15 Greatest sports book ever

• 15 Twitter to follow

• 14 Moneyball buy… in soccer

• 14 Value of pursuing Perjury

• 13 Yahoo Mail

• 13 Stop playing the all-star game?

• 12 Do soccer women have more integrity?

• 12 “Fagged out”

• 12 Acronyms

• 12 Ducks on Pond

• 12 Multi-year free agent relievers

• 12 Folly

• 12 Taxman

• 12 Jury selection fun

• 12 Klosterman interviews Bill James

• 12 Offense as the new market inefficiency?

• 12 Felix v Weaver and/or GB v FB

• 12 Data processing course: CSC108H

• 12 “Everyone has their own WAR”

• 12 wOBA to ERA

• 11 Best super power to have?

• 11 Home field advantage on pitch calls, by count

• 11 Market for Japanese pitchers

• 11 Should we go to 3-balls and 2-strikes?

• 11 How to get SABR relevant to baseball researchers?

• 11 Physics of bats and balls

• 11 Clay Davenport’s data site

• 11 Retrosheet’s Most Wanted

• 10 Vacation

• 06 Signal to noise in QB stats

June, 2011

• 30 Numbers and heart would get along… if adults weren’t involved

• 30 Colby Rasmus has a .234 BABIP in June… and he knows it!

• 30 Colbert and the FEC

• 30 Podcast recommendation: Winning streaks and teammates

• 29 wOBA v OPS

• 29 Historical roster trend

• 29 “Pre-selected common opponents” inspired tiebreaker for wild card team

• 29 Handling young pitchers

• 29 A pitch that no MLB pitcher is capable of executing

• 29 If you are under 60 years old, you have a 50/50 chance of seeing your team win in your lifetime

• 28 But wOBA can’t handle {blank}

• 28 Remaking a great movie

• 28 Clustering and pitch/fx

• 28 Assists per…

• 28 Four more in the Hockey Hall of Fame

• 28 Jonah Lehrer: “This is largely the fault of sabermetrics”

• 28 “Paradox”: Expectation of being favored to win - vs - Expectation of winning

• 27 Sabermetrics lives!

• 27 Refinancing mortgages

• 27 Outs made in the 1B/2B hole

• 27 Greg at the College World Series

• 26 Home-site advantage not involving referees

• 26 Two points of contact on one swing

• 26 Pete Rose / Ray Fosse

• 26 This day is silly golf rules: baseball-style

• 25 How often does the best team win?

• 25 MLB.com has embeddable video

• 25 NL teams vs the field

• 24 Curt Schilling’s new stat

• 24 Is there such a thing as a sure-hit?

• 24 Be thankful you are not a Flyers fan

• 24 Moneyball in soccer

• 24 Miles travelled

• 24 Replacement-level manangers

• 24 Most Dominant Performances Ever

• 24 Poll: (Part 3) You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which do you sign today through 2015?

• 24 Platoon advantage by time of day

• 24 What’s the coolest number in sports?

• 24 Poll: (Part 2) You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which do you sign today through 2015?

• 23 Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which youngster do you sign today through 2015?

• 23 Lookout Landing readers understand regression toward the mean!

• 23 Gardner’s coverage area

• 23 NHL Awards Show

• 23 Year-to-year comparisons

• 22 NL Central schedule changes annually for 14 years

• 22 Roadtrip 2011: biking across America

• 22 Keri: Expos book

• 22 Rotten Tomatoes: Critics v Viewers

• 22 Ryne Sandberg’s hitting approach

• 22 “He learned to catch while I was away”

• 21 Poz on Bautista

• 21 Wiffle Ball Empire

• 21 Quit job to see son pitch in college World Series?

• 21 Does NFL have more expenses relative to revenue than NBA and NHL?

• 21 Friends don’t let friends tweet after death

• 21 Line drive blooper

• 21 Confused about WAR

• 21 This week in soccer insanity: shoves lead to red card

• 21 When to hold them, when to send them

• 20 This week in NCAA eligibility: golf

• 20 Fastball speeds reliability

• 20 Rationalizing irrationality

• 20 Wife sales: precursor to athlete transfer agreements?

• 20 Little League Dad of the Year

• 20 Calgary Redsox

• 18 Performance by men on base / bases empty, by era, by pitcher role

• 17 Sportvision Summit

• 17 Ignorance is bliss… but, bad analysis is hell

• 17 Goonery in baseball

• 17 Moneyball Trailer

• 16 MLB’s Anthony Wiener?

• 16 The one time where I am 100% in agreement with ESPN readers

• 16 Relationship of performance by days elapsed

• 16 Evaluating the trades of Neal Huntington

• 16 Winnipeg uniform proposals

• 16 NHL Divisional Partners 1967 - 2010

• 16 How low a Leverage Index should cause an immediate removal of a starting pitcher?

• 16 Fay Vincent

• 15 Stanley Cup Game 7

• 15 Reducing broken bats

• 15 Justifying rooting against Lebron

• 15 Incentivizing Organ Donations

• 15 Arrests affects on performance?

• 15 Missing the big picture on the small idea that is realignment

• 15 Mark Cuban v Lebron James

• 15 Four bases for a run, not three

• 15 Green Lantern - first reviews

• 14 In return for instant replay challenges, MLB managers… stay on the bench

• 14 Pitchers Roundtable in the 1980s

• 14 Luongo made an observation of Thomas’ style, not ability

• 14 Chad Billingsley, saberist: “…there’s a lot of luck involved”

• 14 Only use shortcuts if you are in a hurry

• 13 When is the observed data half real and half noise?

• 13 Behind the scenes in trading

• 13 The Coming Hall of Fame Apocalypse

• 13 Poll: For players born 1962-1971, I would vote in __ number of players

• 13 Poll: For any ten-year period, I like to see __ number of players voted in the Hall of Fame

• 13 No-division realignment effect: increase from 4.9 to 5.2 competitive teams

• 13 Cerebral coaching

• 13 Game-scoring Liriano’s latest

• 12 George R.R. Martin

• 12 Are TV broadcasters lazy?

• 11 “American-born student denied N.J. tuition grant due to mom’s immigration status”

• 10 “It gets better”

• 10 Keri: F.U. Boston… it’s 2011, not 2000

• 10 Skynet Mail of the Future: Pitching Machines

• 10 Mister Pickle comments on The Book review

• 10 Image v Choice

• 10 How specific can we get in determining the true mean of a particular matchup?

• 10 Poll: If a game was scheduled to start at 19:00, what is the latest start you can accept due to rain

• 10 Catcher Framing Skill

• 09 Estimating Groundball Rates, based on velocity, trajectory, movement, location

• 09 Peter Dinklage as a baseball player?

• 09 Murray Chass: a typical blogger article

• 08 Testing the binomial distribution theory in baseball

• 08 Bromances in movies

• 08 Baseball comportment

• 08 Is Michael Pineda actually “Larry Bernandez” (aka Felix)?

• 08 Rays Team Fielding - Best Since 2008?

• 08 Do PECOTA Percentiles make any sense? No!

• 08 Why Some Make It and Others Do Not: Psychological Factors That Predict Career Success in Soccer

• 08 Bleg: rest-of-season forecasts

• 08 Are systems too optimistic in forecasting star pitchers?

• 08 Stadium signs

• 08 Eddie Gaedel(e)

• 07 Blast from the Past: Pitchers as starters and relievers

• 07 Penny protests

• 07 With or Without You: Dirk Nowitzki

• 07 Film-O-Metric

• 07 Lottery bank account

• 06 Rest of season:PECOTA v ZiPS

• 06 “Earning” a hold, while doing a horrible job

• 06 Five Stages of Weiner

• 06 Is Sprint lazy?

• 05 Roland Garros

• 03 Shaq

• 03 Reader Mail of the Day: What is luck?

• 03 Poll: Would you be interested in paying for a Tangotiger-taught course?

• 03 When podcasts attack

• 03 Hits Per Strike

• 03 Mark Buehrle’s mind

• 03 “Championship-caliber chemistry”

• 03 When hockey players and rock star worlds collide

• 03 Mike Francesa, unabridged

• 03 Hit Tracker mentioned on MLB Network

• 03 Mike Scioscia, saber-scout

• 03 Roadtrip 2011

• 02 Attendance Timeline adjustments

• 02 NHL: have players establish the workplace rules

• 02 Skill to DH?

• 02 Pitcher preparation program

• 01 Bleg: Proposed rule changes in the NHL

• 01 Turning children into saberists

• 01 Attendance base for each team

• 01 North American Society for Sport Management Conference

• 01 Establishing a batter-specific strike zone

• 01 Ending the intentional walk, and breakeven profiles

• 01 There are fat ladies in golf too

May, 2011

• 31 Do saber-groupies exist, and do they heckle?

• 31 iPhones don’t attack people… umpires attack people

• 31 Aging curves, various categories

• 31 “When you step on that field there’s a promise that you make with everybody else: Slide or avoid.”

• 31 Moving your middle infielders toward the lines, based on the fielding talent of your pitcher

• 31 Who should hand out the Stanley Cup?

• 31 Sportsmanlike and child labor

• 31 George Lucas

• 31 Relocation, 15 years later

• 31 Rum and Coke

• 31 Do ace relievers collapse faster than other pitchers?

• 31 Incentivizing Potty Training

• 31 Evolving (revolving?) Prospectus

• 31 Late and close free throws: choke effect

• 30 Example of a catcher actually blocking home plate

• 30 Best experience at an MLB park, according to Yelp readers

• 28 Recreational sabermetrics

• 27 Value of a college education

• 27 Best sport for a first date?

• 27 Pitch recognition

• 27 Institutionalizing Irrationality

• 27 Keeping your batting order static

• 27 David Cone, saberist

• 27 Escrow

• 27 Life of a sports commentator

• 26 How to win at blackjack

• 26 Fewer runners reaching base, faster games

• 26 Posey at the plate

• 26 Which players do fans like?

• 26 Great use of Leverage Index

• 26 Ace reliever or starter in the 9th?

• 26 Reader Mail of the Day: Can you predict a new park to have a neutral factor?

• 25 Aubrey Huff at 3B?

• 25 Ultimate baserunning

• 25 Corked bats and humans

• 25 Another stat symposium

• 24 How to self-publish a book

• 24 Batted Ball Puzzler

• 24 Scientific Baseball in 1916

• 24 K minus BB differential or ratio?

• 24 One of the funnier (sadder?) ones….

• 24 NHL history, through the lens of the Jets

• 24 Baseball ProGUESTus: answers (part 1)

• 24 UZR Background

• 24 Fangraphs goes live with base running linear weights!

• 23 Quote of the day: At least they are now legitimately a Non-Prophet organization.

• 23 Pledge-a-picket

• 23 Pull rate on flyballs

• 23 Batting Approach Philosophy by Marlon Byrd

• 23 New fielding runs for BPro

• 23 Prince Fielder v Adrian Gonzalez

• 23 BPro archives free

• 23 Denying the Black ballplayer

• 23 Rediscovering The Simpsons

• 23 Bunting with Granderson

• 23 Catcher interference skill

• 23 Boston Conference Aftermath…

• 21 Runs and extra innings

• 21 Nate Silver addresses Columbia students

• 20 Quantitative analysts in the NBA: complete(ish) list

• 20 Adjusted Plus-Minus

• 20 Trading location for velocity and movement

• 20 AL/NL disparity

• 20 Jose Bautista: like Bret Boone… but better!

• 20 Todd Stordahl qualified to run the PGA

• 20 Brandon Phillips can do no wrong

• 20 Jeter: Tony Soprano or not?

• 19 Hit Where Pitched

• 19 Currency exchange rates

• 19 Do minor league hitters with great BB:K ratio have a better chance at immediate success than others?

• 19 Small sample size BABIP

• 19 Ode to print encyclopedias

• 19 Pitching to the corners, part one

• 19 Ensuring K-Rod’s option does not vest, by trading him to a team with an established closer

• 19 Baseball ProGUESTus

• 18 How good does your starter have to be for this to be correct?

• 18 Vin Mazzaro

• 18 Unfrozen caveman saberist: wOBA in the dugout

• 18 BE Press’s latest

• 18 Derek Jeter: History Told You So

• 18 Jorge being Murray

• 18 Why baseball fans, why? (inter-conference play)

• 18 Better Know a Blogger: Rally

• 17 Another person deemed better qualified to preserve the sanctity of marriage than Mr Sulu

• 17 Lego

• 17 Versus is (much) better than ESPN for hockey

• 16 ESPN tell-all book

• 16 Hardball Times e-Book

• 16 Google is not infallible

• 16 Ensberg’s whereabouts

• 15 wOBA, Russell Martin, ESPN: 19:40 ET tonight

• 14 Just in case you needed another reason to think that Trump and Beck were buffoons…

• 14 Disconnect between perception and reality (number 3,192)…

• 14 Great slide

• 13 Poz did the impossible

• 13 Nomar, Vlad: model for quick signings

• 13 Paper: Sabermetric and Microeconomic Perspectives on Free Agent Contracts

• 13 Diamond Mind articles

• 13 KC Yankees (1955-1960)

• 13 David Schoenfield hates the Expos

• 13 Lastings Milledge or LASTINGS MILLEDGE?

• 13 Moving along the mound, based on handedness of batter

• 12 Super Two

• 12 Squeezing Brandon League

• 12 Felix speaks

• 12 Relief specialization paying off?

• 11 Trends in fastball speed

• 11 BABIP, in April, year by year

• 11 Is PED out of baseball?

• 11 Union and management heart each other

• 11 Automated Parking Space Tracking

• 11 Video scouts: saberists that roll up their sleeves and watch a game… and a speadsheet

• 11 Straight-flying golf balls

• 10 Are girls being treated as second-class sports citizens?

• 10 When sports memorabilia attacks!

• 10 Poker is a game of skill, not luck

• 10 Nadal / Djokovic

• 09 Reader Mail of the minute: apparent vagaries in wOBA

• 09 Stop the (prediction) insanity!

• 09 Book reviews

• 09 Clint Hurdle, saber-appreciating?

• 09 Breach of Contract Letter To Potomac Books

• 09 Best TV finales ever

• 07 World Series: top diminished sporting event

• 06 Markov football

• 06 Married MLB players earn more than single MLB players of the same quality?

• 06 Run Expectancy Matrix - 2011 is 1969-1992

• 06 Is alot of rest too much rest, heading into a playoff series?

• 06 Waiting for the death of a child

• 06 Re-ordering batting streaks

• 05 Poll: What is the ratio of caught foul tips to dropped foul tips by a catcher?

• 05 Attendance 1969-1997, 1998-2004

• 05 Play-Index expanded

• 05 Ichiro, the selective free-swinger

• 05 Meet the Rays

• 05 Bill James, Stephen Colbert, tonight

• 05 RSS feed no good: use Atom feed instead

• 05 Is Posada the worst base runner in the world?

• 04 Big Brother

• 04 Sports reading in Manhattan

• 04 Netflix of books?

• 04 NHL Elo Player Rater

• 04 Overcast, with a chance of good hitting

• 04 OF Arms

• 04 Sign of the apocalypse

• 04 If not Jeter, then who?

• 04 Why are NHL referees afraid to call for a penalty shot?

• 04 Character debate

• 04 Platoon splits recap

• 04 Justine Siegal

• 04 Game Score-ing Liriano’s No-hitter

• 03 A typical first-overall pick is… Phil Nevin

• 03 Game theory and science, in 1911 Baseball

• 03 Gassko’s thesis on Free Agency

• 03 Yes, clutch skill exists!  Hello?  We know that already.

• 03 Through-Counts

• 03 At-Counts

• 03 Canadian elections

• 03 Vargas

• 02 Life and Times of Stanley Cup

• 02 Stars at all 8 positions

• 02 Fans hanging signs in stadium for achievements

• 02 Gretzky rookie

• 02 Bunting against Wakefield

• 01 Where were you?

• 01 Listening to Bobby Valentine makes me long for Joe Morgan

April, 2011

• 30 Polanco, Jeter and tomatoes, part 2

• 30 Did we get a bunch of good relievers this year?

• 30 Why official stats aren’t to be considered the right stats

• 29 What is the ideal wealth distribution?

• 29 The most bizarre news conference you will ever see!

• 28 Out rate by location and hang time

• 28 Game 7 sudden death overtime

• 27 Soria F/X

• 27 Make the case to put Johnny Damon in the HOF, while keeping Carlos Beltran (and Jim Edmonds) out

• 26 Roger Goodell

• 26 Zero-tolerance policy = let’s behave like automatons

• 26 Stathead links

• 26 Jered Weaver: from sabre-darling to sabre-nightmare

• 26 Poz and Gasbags on Parade

• 26 Non-randomness in pitching approach

• 26 Mallpark

• 26 Babe Ruth complained to his manager about being expected to both pitch and play regularly in the fie

• 26 Silly SSS stories and the “evidence” to support them…

• 25 Roy Halladay’s talent level… has improved?

• 25 One hundred thirty

• 24 Card game

• 24 Yet another fantastic NHL playoff day

• 24 Phillies Chairman Bill Giles admits collusion in his own book

• 23 Why has no one done this research?

• 22 Bayes and regression, again

• 22 What is that pitch?

• 22 Impracticality of Noll-Scully to Measure Competitive Balance

• 22 Play-in game

• 21 Puerto Rico and the forced draft

• 21 Posey hits the HR cycle (one-run HR, two-run HR, three-run HR, grand slam)

• 21 Women umpires

• 21 Daniel Bard, shutdowns and meltdowns (S & M)

• 21 Hall of Not Famous Enough

• 21 Mathletics Review

• 21 Nice article on ESPN Insider about batting order…

• 20 Baby Bells

• 20 Kapitoil

• 20 Cornell Bleg: Spatial Modeling of Fielding in Major League Baseball

• 20 America giveth and America restricteth

• 19 New NHL TV contract

• 19 College bats

• 19 Attendance is down

• 19 Reds Right Hander Caught Red Handed

• 18 wOBA v OPS

• 18 UZR now available weekly

• 18 Heroes

• 18 Why won’t MLB allow videos to be embedded?

• 18 True talent, based on surrounding years

• 18 Fan tribute video

• 17 Felicitations Olivier!

• 17 Fielder’s choice, SB and CS

• 17 Tax Day

• 17 Conspiracy and collusion

• 17 Rays fans pick lineup

• 16 Bill James to be on Stephen Colbert on May 5!

• 16 Fall of online poker (in America)

• 16 Psst… wanna intern with Trackman?

• 15 Bill White, admitted drug user…. and who cares anyway?

• 15 Unexplained variance

• 15 Curt Flood’s rest of career

• 15 Sports Writers Unions

• 15 Adrian Gonzalez luxury-tax loophole

• 15 What’s your resting metabolic rate in calories?

• 15 MLB GM responds to service time issue!

• 14 If saber-leaning GM, why not saber-leaning coach?

• 14 Intangibles only count if you see results after the fact… d’uh

• 14 If you can throw 105, should you?

• 14 Barry Bonds Sentenced to 15 Years… Of Hall of Fame Discussions by Holy Writers

• 14 Batted ball data: good or bad?

• 13 Odds of a good team having a bad year

• 13 Luck in scoring goals

• 13 PITCHf/x injuries

• 13 Is Jason Heyward the new Freddie Lynn?

• 13 Sabermetrics is the Cahill of our Discontent

• 13 Batted Balls and Home Runs

• 13 Make everyone a free agent at age…

• 13 BPro 2011 Review and/or Discussion

• 12 Trackman

• 12 World Society

• 12 Revamping the draft

• 12 Greatness by perspiration

• 12 Hamilton College Baseball wOBA, FIP

• 12 What is a checked swing?

• 12 Why are hot or lucky starts on offense explainable, but not on fielding?

• 12 Reason #4,218 why you don’t want a major league manager doing your taxes

• 11 How to reduce penalties (and increase scoring) in the NHL

• 11 Fangraphs Boxscore Overhauled

• 11 Baseball ID Mapping File: updated daily

• 11 Do you walk a batter in extra innings with 2 outs to face the pitcher?

• 09 Pedro Feliciano, Shutdowns and Meltdowns

• 09 Proposing that academics don’t limit themselves to numbers, but (gulp) talk to human beings

• 08 Umpires like catchers as batters

• 08 Are approaches against rookies changing during the year?

• 08 Tangotiger v Steve Wulf

• 08 When county clerks attack!

• 08 Splits based on spray

• 08 Lowering the standards to retire numbers so that we can have an excuse for celebration

• 08 Lastings Milledge : GMs “as to” Bad boys : the girls who think they are the ones who can change them

• 08 Don’t leave the High School bonus, and go to college first

• 08 Release points

• 08 So you think pitchers are smart?

• 07 Bleg: who had Tommy John?

• 07 Swapping positions

• 06 Les Blue Jays de Montreal

• 06 When betting by athletes should be allowed

• 06 Case for Shutdowns, Meltdowns

• 06 Dilly-dallying at a restaurant

• 06 When non Subject Matter Experts attack!

• 05 Blogger decredentialed, Hockey Writers boycott awards voting!

• 05 Right, second base is soooo unique that you need experience to play there

• 04 Psst… wanna intern with the Yankees?

• 04 Differing release points by pitch

• 04 What do you think of this?

• 04 “On pace to…”

• 04 Intentionally dropping a foul ball

• 04 How to review something

• 04 Worst captcha ever?

• 03 Fantastic Four

• 02 Monolithic sabermetrics

• 01 Fieldf/x, Bloomberg, and history

• 01 Blogger Paywall

• 01 Umpire Call Database

• 01 Replacing a coach… helps?

• 01 Technology at MLB parks for fans

• 01 How to figure out how much talent there is: example with NHL goalies

March, 2011

• 31 PS3 Move: MLB 11 The Show

• 31 Change in fastball speed by count

• 31 More changes at Fangraphs

• 31 Best 32 MLB players in 2011

• 31 Alan Schwarz

• 31 Precision is in the eye of the beholder…

• 30 Interview with UZR

• 30 Comeback

• 30 Bill James and massive expansion

• 30 wOBAcon

• 30 Community Playing Time Forecasts 2011 - Last Call

• 30 Fastball heat in the heat

• 30 Two Pi and Not To Pi?

• 30 Out of the ashes of Jeff’s minor league splits site comes…

• 30 Misleading those who want to be misled

• 29 I am not a sabermetrician

• 29 Psst… wanna work at Hardball Times?

• 29 John Donaldson

• 29 Two faces of Posnanski’s readers

• 29 Where are the women bloggers?

• 28 Sean Avery - kid bodyguard

• 28 Future Baseball Databank Updates

• 28 Your team’s optimal batting order

• 28 Reader mail of the day: Best Estimate of True Talent

• 28 New baseball blogs

• 28 Leverage Observations

• 27 Base running lwts

• 27 How to have a rational discussion

• 26 Strasburg’s mechanics

• 26 Breakout boys?

• 26 I agree with Babe Ruth

• 25 Wizardry

• 25 Does Jeter get favorable calls?

• 25 Baseball CD

• 25 Team most likely to win its division?

• 25 Moneyball The Movie - Reviews!

• 25 Player and Position File 2010

• 25 Community Playing Time Forecast 2011

• 24 Get to know your umpire

• 24 Reader bleg: WAR based points league, inc fielding, looking for owners

• 24 Is TJ Simers a worse person than Marcus Thames is a fielder?

• 24 When athletes play doctor

• 24 Stan The Puppet?

• 24 Book Review: The Beauty of Short Hops…

• 23 NRI about to make the club

• 23 Which boxscore presentation do you prefer?

• 22 Win-scaling stats

• 22 Ballparks Database - now online!

• 22 Batting Order Lineup Tool

• 22 (Personification of) Stats responds

• 22 “Let’s divide two!”

• 22 “Economics research want to be free.  Set it free!”

• 22 An auction or a lottery?

• 21 Another (great) baseball symposium in May!

• 21 Longoria no longer the best deal in… (which year)?

• 21 Mathematically illiterate menu pricing

• 21 Hockey shot situations

• 21 Mystical Saberists

• 21 Velocity Loss

• 20 Tangotiger v “longtime sportswriter and editor”

• 20 Dropoff in MLB talent from player to player

• 20 Why MLE’s are a mess…

• 19 Statistical lamposts and basements

• 18 Marlins batting order

• 18 Luis Hernandez swing rate against slow or breaking pitches

• 18 People’s instincts are better than just the facts

• 18 Draft picks… of MLB players

• 18 Claim denial

• 18 Web interface for injuries

• 18 Computer processors: Intel v AMD

• 18 Tennis’s 4-D technology, Hawk-eye, potentially available to the public?

• 18 Conference imbalance in MLB and NHL

• 18 PITCHf/x and batter perspective

• 18 Competition committees

• 17 Most innovative companies in sports

• 17 Deadening balls

• 17 Scott Rolen, Derek Jeter, tomayto, tomahto

• 17 Leverage Index by Save Opportunities

• 17 Foreacasting playing time, again

• 16 Psst… wanna work for the Houston Rockets?

• 16 Tracking NBA players and ball

• 16 Value of an NHL draft pick

• 16 Is education a good investment?

• 16 Team v Team over de-signed prospect

• 16 Worst fielding CF of all time (relative to his team peers)?

• 16 Aggregate Fielding Runs

• 16 Pitching and hitting of World Series teams

• 16 Moises Alou

• 16 Tracking players’ movement

• 15 Historical black talent

• 15 Bunting in a high-run, and poor-fielding, environment

• 15 NHL committee

• 15 Daredevil

• 14 Review of Keri’s 2%

• 14 The Baseball Cube

• 14 Bracket Theory

• 14 Nuclear Power 101

• 14 Montreal’s Jackie Robinson

• 14 Best Shape Of My Life (BSOML) study

• 13 Origins of baseball

• 13 I’ll wait until I read the book, but…

• 12 Greg Maddux scouting report - when he was in high school

• 11 History of the spitball’s demise

• 11 Team Ratings

• 11 Poz on offense stats

• 11 Using WOWY and positional switchers to determine the fielding value of each position

• 10 Justified

• 10 Groundball rate… by knuckleball speed!

• 10 Relive a game, graphically

• 10 Tracy Ringolsby

• 10 When to bring up Bryce Harper to maximize performance pre-free agency?

• 10 How do low BB players age?

• 10 Throw a curve ball and hope for the best

• 10 Physical conditioning results

• 10 PA, starts, batting order, and team runs

• 10 Head-to-head historical matchups

• 10 A really good primer on TJ surgery

• 09 rWAR v fWAR: pitchers

• 09 “Reckless disregard”

• 09 Charting a game in real-time: NHL

• 09 NBA Analytics teams

• 08 Psst… wanna intern at BPro?

• 08 Tandem pitchers

• 08 Does Dave Righetti influence the HR rates of his pitchers?

• 08 Forecasting Japanese players

• 08 Pitching helmet

• 08 Sloan Analytics Recap

• 08 Review of Keri’s 2%

• 08 Historical change in catcher offensive output

• 08 Bonds witness list

• 08 Betting the over/under by umpire

• 08 Why you really need to know the league changes from year to year…

• 07 What sports is about

• 07 Reader bleg: Dominican winter leagues data

• 07 Science of Mariano’s cutter

• 07 Do we want to know about peak years for HOF?

• 07 Recent historical salaries

• 07 Throwing a game

• 07 Sabermetric see-saw

• 07 Mike Scoscia

• 06 I am over 50 years old, a member of the media, not originally a proponent of sabermetrics. I am now.

• 06 Two female high school pitchers facing each other

• 06 Murray Chass’ pitchers

• 06 OK, someone had to bring up Wisconsin

• 05 Game theory… in pac-man!

• 05 COMMANDf/x

• 05 Funniest (and weirdest) thread hijack ever…

• 05 American Idol

• 05 Another budding pitch f/x star…

• 04 Don’t like runs and earned runs?  How about we invent pitcher wins?

• 04 Blogger v Media

• 04 xFIP and Buchholz

• 04 MLBPA should consider allowing buyouts

• 04 Sloan twitter feed: #ssac

• 04 Peak age in NBA free throw shooting

• 04 BABIP video

• 04 How much weight for the playoffs?

• 04 @charliesheen # of followers about to surpass @DalaiLama; @Sn00ki next to fall; apocalypse at hand

• 03 Why call it an “honour” code?

• 03 BIS fielding article submissions

• 03 Call out: Fantasy league participants

• 03 Michael Young is Derek Jeter

• 03 Tiring fastballs

• 03 Is BIS data on swings completely unreliable?

• 03 Pronunciation guide

• 03 Fan team forecasts

• 02 Almost time to stop the ESPN hate?

• 02 Team to root for, scientifically speaking

• 02 Handedness platoon splits, 2002-2010

• 02 M’s batting order

• 02 Psst… wanna work at Baseball-Reference?

• 02 Juicing of the NBA ball

• 02 Free throw aging curve

• 02 Oliver updates

• 02 How much skill is there at free throws?

• 02 Players leave money on the table, fans STILL not appeased

• 02 War chest

• 02 Testing PITCHf/x accuracy

• 02 What was behind the lower run scoring in 2010?

• 01 And the first rule of Baseball Club is You don’t talk about Baseball Club

• 01 Team Health Reports

• 01 Pitching expanding the strike zone, part 2

• 01 Maple Street Press

• 01 Miserable sports cities

• 01 K per PA

February, 2011

• 28 Home/Away split on Free throws

• 28 Spending for playoff spots

• 28 Rays optimal batting order?

• 28 Batting orders: fix what’s broken

• 28 How to do fielding in fantasy?

• 28 Fielding spectrum

• 28 Size of NHL players continues to increase every decade, but especially goons

• 27 Boston Analytics World

• 26 Framing pitches

• 26 Keri’s Extra 2%

• 26 Foul-shooting Home Side advantage

• 26 How not to apologize - “It was an accident”

• 25 Pitching expanding the strike zone

• 25 Historical GB and FB pitchers

• 25 Make-a-wish: the one day contract

• 25 Carlos Marmol

• 25 Blackout

• 25 Miscalibrations in PITCHf/x by park

• 25 Angels into sabermetrics?

• 25 GM: the new Harvard

• 25 Humidor effects

• 25 Players policing themselves

• 25 Scorecasting review, part II

• 24 Talent distribution in MLB: bell-shaped, or right-tail?

• 24 Banning spit (smokeless) tobacco

• 24 Rooting for Mike Danton?

• 24 Forecasting the past

• 24 How many teams in MLB playoffs?  Part 2

• 24 Should you bet the under on high-ranked teams?

• 24 Compiled list of prospects

• 24 Marcello’s playing time

• 24 Watson DJ and FJ strategies…

• 24 How one umpire retiring can change the entire face of baseball!

• 24 Breaking up pitching data into batted ball and non-batted ball

• 23 Psst… wanna work for 7000 hours over the course of 7 months?

• 23 How many teams in MLB playoffs?

• 23 WAR before WAR - 1915 World Series

• 23 BP 2011

• 23 Poll: I DO follow the NHL, and my preference for number of teams in the playoffs is…

• 23 Forget about “average annual value”

• 23 Has there been a change in GB hit at some point in the late 60s?

• 23 Component runs allowed (BaseRuns for pitchers)

• 23 Uncertainty of data: fear and options

• 23 Quote of the day

• 23 Linear wins

• 23 When you start off hot, are you really that good?

• 22 Are the data and results reported in Scorecasting accurate?

• 22 Rob Antony, asst GM of Twins

• 22 Greatest hockey goal ever?  By 9-year-old Oliver Wahlstrom

• 22 Fantasy valuation under different league structures

• 22 Andrew Miller’s Poison Pill

• 22 Pushing back time

• 22 Over/under 2011 Vegas

• 21 Scorecasting

• 21 PED?  How about PES (president-enhancing slaves)?

• 20 Pocket books

• 20 Football coaches bonuses tied to non-academics

• 20 College baseball HR to drop substantially

• 18 Effects of concussions

• 18 Jim Gray

• 18 Jonah + Poz = ?

• 18 Humor and Plagiarism

• 18 Free agency for all

• 18 Ratios to rates

• 18 Player Worth by position, NHL

• 17 By The Numbers

• 17 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - Official Results - Part 3

• 17 Fielder positioning by pitch location

• 17 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - Official Results - Part 2

• 17 Is Marcel too good to be a baseline comparison point?

• 16 Cashing in your chips?

• 16 Retrosheet?  Meet Apple!

• 16 Injury data and basic pitchf/x data on the same page

• 16 Runs Per Win

• 16 Baseball Mortality Table

• 16 Pujols Cub

• 16 Psst… wanna work for Kristi Dosh?

• 16 Jeapordy Clicker

• 16 Student Idol?

• 16 CatcherF/X

• 15 Average pitch location

• 15 Trading Albert Pujols?

• 15 Unearned things

• 15 Forecasts: Humans v Mechanical

• 15 Congrats to Sean Forman

• 15 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - Official Results

• 14 Saber video

• 14 Reader mail of the day: Chain of Fools

• 14 Welcome hockey to my nightmare

• 14 Forecasting Pujols

• 14 Jersey/sweater sponsorships

• 14 Success and Failure Rates of Top MLB Prospects

• 14 Yahoo saber league

• 12 Some weekend fun

• 12 Lex Luthor

• 12 BPro Reader mail of the day: regression toward the mean, part 2

• 11 Historical book about fielding

• 11 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - part 3 - head-to-head sample

• 11 Poll: Emma Span

• 11 Help me with my financial math: Pujols share of Cardinals should be 15%?

• 11 Are you kidding me?

• 11 Using objective data for fielding

• 11 NFL rule changes

• 10 Syphilis and Bayes

• 10 Reader mail of the day: true talent last year, not this year

• 10 Calibration caution

• 10 Montreal Italian

• 10 Weaver: to Lincecum or not to Lincecum, that is the arbitrator’s question

• 10 Ode to the triple

• 10 Best free agents in 2011 for under one million$?

• 10 Ohlendorf’s arbitration case

• 10 Yet another article that “samples” is not “true”

• 10 Momentum, shmomentum

• 10 Half as many shattered bats

• 09 Paralysis by Analysis

• 09 Black Widow and Phoenix

• 09 HITf/x

• 09 Economics of Sports Course: ECON 583

• 08 The Moneyball Network

• 08 BPro Reader mail of the day: regression toward the mean

• 08 Poz by birth year

• 08 Before hitting Submit: Copy/paste your post

• 08 If you don’t have a secondary pitch, should you stay in the bullpen?

• 08 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - part 2 - Does Marcel over-regress?

• 08 SaberScouting Kyle Drabek

• 07 How do you compensate a fan’s lost chance of a memorable experience?

• 07 Ferris Bueller ala Wezen

• 07 Marcel v Fans: Or, do fans regress enough?

• 07 Rink Bias

• 07 Amazon Filler Finder

• 07 Crowded 2016 Ballot

• 07 LOB% video

• 07 PECOTA 2011

• 07 Kotsay v Edmonds

• 06 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems for Batting, part 1

• 06 Dean Oliver: Director of Production Analystics at ESPN

• 05 TV watching to record data: a good idea?

• 05 Forecasting the best rookie pitchers in the last 10 years

• 05 Size of baseball bats to decrease

• 04 Phil and .300 around the web

• 04 DIPS and relievers

• 04 Strasburg 2011

• 03 Indeterminate quality of data

• 03 Marcel 2011

• 03 Where Pettitte ranks among his peers

• 03 Are players aware of how often they chase pitches?

• 03 Why so many LH soft-tossers

• 03 Reader request of the day: Pitcher W/L

• 03 Tango’s Lab: FutureFIP

• 03 FIP challenge: part 4

• 03 Is Mariano Rivera’s strike zone so pitcher-friendly that he gets a 1.61 run benefit per 9IP?

• 02 Cardinals 2011 batting lineup by The Book

• 02 Psst… wanna work in the NFL?

• 02 Not losing money to injuries

• 02 Enbserg now on satellite radio

• 02 BPro expands

• 02 bbFIP and kwERA data for 2010: Felix v Weaver

• 02 Psst… wanna work at BIS?

• 02 Fangraphs Live in Arizona (Spring Training)

• 02 The HR per FB skill

• 02 Win Probability is taking over the world

• 02 Baseball America on 17yr old Felix

• 02 The best MLE’s in 2010

• 01 It’s official!  Our good friend Rob Neyer is at SB Nation.

• 01 Cracking the scratch lottery code

• 01 THT Reference Library

• 01 Out-of-option players

January, 2011

• 31 Someone who forecasts BEFORE something happens? It’s true!

• 31 Neyer leaving ESPN… and joins SBNation

• 31 Cap Anson - all-time great?

• 31 “SABR is not sabermetrics”

• 31 More R

• 31 Customizable Heat Maps

• 30 Colts 2011 cheerleader candidates

• 29 Breathless claims of new home field advantage discoveries?  Take a deep breath because…

• 29 “ ‘Hubris’, my friend, is sneering at regression to the mean”

• 29 What you throw influences your BABIP

• 29 Who are the best and worst baserunners?

• 29 Baseball Puzzles

• 29 Andrew Gelman on Pete Palmer

• 29 Doomed to repeat history

• 28 Regressing observed platoon splits

• 28 Gene Roddenberry’s original pitch

• 28 Trivia of the day, with a bonus f.you to Pitching wins

• 28 How to calculate BABIP

• 28 Box score statistics are the RBIs of basketball

• 28 How much home field advantage do we want?

• 28 Math confirms two greatest World Series were 1975 and 1991

• 28 Rating the 2010 projections once again

• 27 Dealing with commenters

• 27 Georgia College Football made over 50MM$?

• 27 Goodbye ERA

• 27 Batting Order for Redsox 2011

• 27 BR.com Play Index

• 27 More walks-for-singles swap

• 27 Sign Vlad to limit Abreu?

• 27 Testing SIERA

• 26 Joba: starter or reliever?

• 26 Win Probability: pre-allocation method

• 26 Why do teams overpay for relievers?

• 26 Reader post of the day: spread in talent

• 25 Juan Pierre: I and we were wrong

• 25 Fangraphs Library

• 25 Poz for the HOF?

• 25 All About Voros

• 25 Home-site advantage in all sports

• 25 Why not have mercy rules?

• 24 Cubs 2011 lineup by The Book

• 24 Ensberg on Satellite Radio

• 24 Instant runoff Oscars

• 24 Talent or Timing?  Via Cain v Shields

• 24 Fourth Out

• 22 WOWY Scandanavia

• 21 Capuano f/x

• 21 Nick Punto

• 21 Budgets

• 21 Top 10 Nonpitcher prospects according to Oliver

• 20 Kindling The Book

• 20 More DH and fielding

• 20 Streakiness

• 20 MLBPA: be scared… be very very scared

• 20 Which reporter gets the most scoops?

• 20 Selig’s search for an executive

• 20 All about the Holy Writers

• 20 Randomness of plus/minus

• 19 Reader Mail of the Day: Financial amateurs

• 19 Science Hall of Fame

• 19 “Block the lock”

• 19 Voiding contracts

• 19 Trade Trees

• 19 Almost Padres Tim Raines

• 19 Soriano F/X

• 19 Do relievers who win the lottery need to share their money?

• 18 Park construction history in the NFL

• 18 Ricky Gervais

• 18 Are byes good… or bad?

• 18 James Player Rater 1994

• 18 Gil Meche

• 18 SaberLibrary suggestions?

• 18 WPA story at ESPN

• 18 Batter Order philosophy… from a century ago

• 18 Making minor leagues stronger

• 17 LOB% video

• 15 NFL and the uniform police

• 15 Nice little article about Bayesian probablity and other related things

• 14 Power Balance wristbands and when smart people say dumb things…

• 14 Computers taking over

• 14 Super 2 date for 2010

• 14 More opening vault from Jeff: Marcels

• 14 Bobby Jenks v Kyle Farnsworth

• 14 UZR v Fans, via Coors

• 13 Forecasters Challenge 2011 - Preliminary Lineup

• 13 Fangraphs Fan forecasts

• 13 Batter-pitcher matchup adjustments

• 13 Tennis markov code

• 13 Channeling your inner Leverage Index

• 12 Hidden Game of Baseball

• 12 If you win the lottery, are you a millionaire?

• 12 Roids v Greenies

• 12 The ol’ A+B worse than C trick

• 12 The Extra 2%

• 11 Minor League Splits Database

• 11 WOWY in Hockey

• 11 Rays: acquire pieces, flip them, don’t go for free agency

• 11 Player-mascots

• 10 Reviewing Bill James minor league forecasts 1993-1995

• 10 Minor league farm value

• 10 FIP video

• 10 The Negotiator

• 10 Stinkin’ thinkin’ is not just for addicts

• 09 Why opinions without evidence DON’T matter

• 09 Keith Olbermann

• 08 Golf and its one million referees

• 07 Baseball Idol

• 07 Minor League translations

• 07 Catcher defense, 2010

• 07 Reader mail of the day: fielding WAR for DH?

• 07 Owning up to bad forecasts

• 07 The Last Psychiatrist

• 06 Elect-2 / Elect-3

• 06 Writer’s article: admits he’s gay. Non-story to me. Wouldn’t this best be done as a 3-word tweet?

• 06 Winter Classic: New Year’s Day, or New Year’s Eve?

• 06 Hall of Orwell

• 06 What to do with the n-word in books?

• 06 Rebounds and putouts

• 05 Andrew Gelman on Statistics and Bill James

• 05 Lee Smith v Tim Raines

• 05 The Cruel and Compassionate Umpire

• 05 How many players should a BBWAA voter place on his Hall Of Fame ballot?

• 05 Barry Alomar v Roberto Larkin = Lou Trammell v Alan Whitaker

• 05 Sad news:Blyleven elected, will no longer be talked about ever again; Worse news:Morris not elected

• 05 Geoff Harcourt’s ID project

• 05 Another R primer

• 05 Trading for draft picks

• 05 My dozens of PED threads, hundreds of posts + thousands of rambling comments summarized by one post

• 04 Keep your fans close and your enemies closer

• 04 Bunts, bunts, bunts

• 04 Innocent v Guilt via Poz v Ed Price

• 04 Baseball Niners

• 04 Adrian Beltre and walk years

• 04 Average age of MLB ballparks

• 04 Hockey Goons

• 04 Holy Writer wants to be defrocked!

• 04 SpongeBob renewed!

• 04 wOBAcon

• 04 Dirk Hayhurst on Canadians

• 04 Swinging strikes, but no strikeouts?

• 04 Fans springs eternal

• 04 Best case FOR Jack Morris in HOF

• 04 Release points

• 04 Worst Playoff teams ever

• 03 Forecasters Challenge 2011 - Accepting entries

• 03 Fielding value and the HOF

• 03 Best Hockey Fights

• 03 Tim Raines love

• 03 MLE of groundball rates

• 03 Inflation in Fantasy Keeper Leagues

• 02 Another open letter to Murray Chass

• 02 Legislating rules of etiquette

• 01 The Best in hockey analysis 2010

2010

December, 2010

• 30 Bloggers 1000, Holy Writers 0

• 30 Oliver Primer

• 30 “Accuse us as we accuse them”

• 30 Poz v Heyman through Blyleven v Morris

• 29 Was Andre Dawson principally a CF or RF?

• 29 Shootout = crapshoot

• 29 Tangotiger challenge of the day: If not WAR, then what?

• 28 How much would Nolan Ryan make today?

• 28 Forecasted Standings for 2011

• 28 The Book - under 14$

• 28 Do low-talent teams overspend on free agents?

• 28 Mathematical sleight of hand

• 28 Homer Simpson v will.i.am + Usher

• 28 Will MLBPA be begging for revenue sharing?

• 28 Baseball America Top 100 list

• 28 Mario greatest in Pittsburgh history

• 28 Having problems logging into Primer?

• 27 High School HR Power Derby

• 27 Future dollars for future wins

• 26 MLB.com and censorship

• 24 Umpires and counts

• 24 PITCHf/s miscalibration

• 24 Why I can’t stand PED usage in MLB

• 24 Phyisics of frozen basketballs

• 23 Marcel Primer

• 23 Tangotiger Year-End Awards

• 23 Nemesis of the year

• 23 Worst ending in sports

• 23 Our HOF ballot

• 23 Do teams really make a stronger push for players if they are in the mid-80 wins talent level?

• 23 Primary Fielding Position

• 23 More sleeve rolling on Royals’ farm system

• 23 Last year’s 1 year deals on starting pitchers

• 22 Small sample size is not limited to just baseball fans

• 22 Is George Atis the a$$hole of the year?

• 22 Merry Xmas

• 22 But what an infielder have made the out?

• 22 Non-saber saber

• 22 Counsancourt?  Betansell?

• 22 Tretiak: legacy or legend

• 22 Multi-year relievers

• 21 Best clutch hitters since 1974

• 21 Saberfreak

• 21 Human element

• 20 Forecasting playing time

• 20 Now you see him, now you don’t… and then you see him again

• 20 Current state of fielding Primer

• 20 When each team always has a chance to win

• 20 Second Amendment and Superheroes

• 20 Redemption Island

• 20 THT Forecasts

• 20 RE24 and boLI

• 20 Greinke: Two years of undervalued asset

• 19 These are the people we elect to run our nation…

• 18 Economics of Fantasy Valuation

• 18 Who’s happy?

• 18 Dare to Dream

• 18 Extra inning rule

• 17 Cliff Lee

• 17 Wow, that’s the best response he can come up with?

• 17 Andy Pettitte

• 17 LHH RHH bias in umpire calls

• 17 Felix’s first 10 pitches

• 17 Jon Stewart + 9/11 responders = comedy gold

• 17 Yoda v Hulk

• 17 Being right by being wrong

• 17 Fantasy valuation

• 17 Reliability of minor league data

• 17 R language tutorial

• 16 Lemonade

• 16 What does it mean to be “offensive?”

• 16 BPro + SABR + NYC = 75 seats

• 16 No equilibrium in 2 point conversion?  Run more!

• 15 Strike zone, based on fastball v off-speed

• 15 Matt and batted balls, part 2 (a thread about baseball)

• 15 Sports Betting

• 15 Julian Bayes

• 15 Psst… wanna one-shot deal at scoring NHL data?

• 15 Is Hanley Ramirez loafing a necessary byproduct of the rest of his talent?

• 15 Matt and batted balls, part 1 (Tango’s reading issues)

• 15 Pablo Sandoval and WAR

• 14 Forecasting likelihood of starting pitchers being injured

• 14 Golden Globes

• 14 Cliff Lee 2008-present

• 13 Living Yield Curve

• 13 Excellent replacement-level simulation

• 13 Law lab

• 13 To Pujols or not to Pujols, part 2

• 13 Preparing for FIELDf/x

• 13 To Pujols or not to Pujols

• 13 Graphical wOBA by count

• 13 Hall of Fame podacsts

• 12 Pedro 1997-2003: Personalized Run Expectancy and Linear Weights

• 11 Replacement level in the media

• 11 Linear Weights 1993-2010

• 11 Comic book runs above average… or above replacement?

• 11 Sandy Alderson talks to bloggers

• 10 Bat speed v pitch speed

• 10 Braves stats and scouts

• 10 Fangraphs splits + multi-year, on the same request

• 10 Jeter’s contract breakdown

• 10 Phil, JC, and the future

• 09 Retrosheet Data - Batting, Pitching Hands

• 09 Tangotiger challenge of the day

• 09 Forkballs

• 09 Do players with speed skills age better?

• 09 Youtube: Bill James, Poz, Costas, Early

• 09 Since when has the “White House” become part of the legislative branch?

• 09 One less player on the playing area

• 09 Bases, Outs by Event

• 08 Fangraphs has splits leaderboards

• 08 NASA and online peer review

• 08 Luke Scott

• 08 Dave van Horne: the voice of my childhood

• 08 Boring math stuff not worthy of a blog post

• 08 Bias by batting hand

• 08 Posting system: foreclosure of collusive bidding, part 2

• 08 “In the beginning, Bill James created Baseball Abstract…”

• 08 BPro gift giving

• 08 Tom Verducci’s conflict of interest

• 08 Verducci v “Blogger Murray Chass”

• 07 Jeter tells his agent to f-ck -ff?

• 07 Defending the Werth deal

• 07 Segregation and Inclusion

• 07 NHL awards

• 07 Best Players Not in HOF

• 06 Alex Anthopoulos

• 06 FIP and the narrative of American history

• 06 Boardwalk Empire

• 06 Marvin Miller’s “Red speech” from Shawshank redemption didn’t work

• 06 Phil, JC, and MRP

• 06 Baseball perfect at age 10

• 05 Graphical run expectancy chart

• 04 Forecast Mat Latos

• 04 TruMedia - platform for PITCHf/x

• 03 Easy MIT entrance exam

• 03 Community Forecasts

• 03 Subject Matter Expert

• 02 CSI baseball

• 02 Best Birth Years

• 02 Mark Simon, ESPN, and sabremetrics

• 02 Our Lab: Bias in Batted Ball data

• 02 Cliff Lee

• 02 Poll: I have been following the fielding threads around here of late and…

• 02 Flyball distances for Yuni

• 01 Data files for 2010 available now

• 01 No CHONE in 2011

• 01 Expanding {blank} to {blank} is a terrible idea!

• 01 Tennis markov

• 01 Sons of Anarchy

• 01 Kardashians teach us

• 01 Was baseball meant to be 9 innings?

• 01 Conclusions?

• 01 What IS a FA worth?

November, 2010

• 30 Scrapping the compensation system

• 30 Tulo

• 30 Underrated hockey players

• 30 Are my WAR aging numbers not aggressive enough?

• 30 Last week in excessive golf penalties

• 29 Fastball aging patterns

• 29 Gameday slice bias

• 29 Rewinding Jeter

• 29 Marvin Miller on Jim Palmer

• 29 Hayhurst on Jeter

• 28 Murray Chass again

• 28 Does (one-year) UZR tell us exactly what happened?

• 28 Win Expectancy Matrix, 1950-2010

• 26 Brooks Robinson saber tracer

• 25 When a catcher can no longer catch…