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An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, October 06, 2006

Analyzing Manager Moves with THE BOOK

By Tangotiger, 08:00 AM

I loved the whole article.  The premise to the analysis:

On the other hand, any gambler going to Vegas to play blackjack will, if he or she is serious about winning, come equipped with a memorized cheat-sheet of when to take a hit and when to stand pat.  Should we expect anything less from the man in charge of a baseball team with a $70 million budget?  The odds we’re dealing with are small, but so is the house advantage in Vegas.  To beat the system, or the other team, is a matter of inches, or, precisely the issue at hand here: a few percentage points.  After all, that’s supposed to be the point of conventional baseball strategy in the first place--playing the percentages.

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October 06, 2006
Analyzing Manager Moves with THE BOOK