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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Adrian Beltre

By Tangotiger, 10:49 AM

Dave likes to talk about him, and I like to look him up.  Following the 2004 season, Beltre signed a 5/64 deal.  Presuming a cost per win of 3.31 (in 2005), 3.64, 4.00, 4.40, 4.84 (in 2009), they were buying 16 wins above replacement for that money (and it makes little difference the shape of that distribution).  This is what they’re actually getting:

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April 30, 2008
Adrian Beltre