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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Poll

Monday, February 06, 2012

When is a life entity considered a person?

By Tangotiger, 08:08 PM

(71) Comments • 2012/02/09 • SabermetricsPoll

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Poll: Yu, Felix, Strasburg, Kershaw?

By Tangotiger, 02:08 PM

NOTE: Presume all of these pitchers are free agents.

(49) Comments • 2012/01/02 • SabermetricsPoll

Saturday, October 08, 2011

Poll: I saw the ENTIRE Halladay/Carpenter duel and I thought:

By Tangotiger, 08:48 AM

(6) Comments • 2011/10/08 • SabermetricsPoll

Sunday, October 02, 2011

Poll: how to credit a play against a pitcher when involving his fielders

By Tangotiger, 10:35 PM

Here’s the play.

If you can’t see it: Cliff Lee has runners on 2B and 3B with 2 outs.  He gives up a solid line drive hit to short LF, that Ibanez gets to on one hop.  Runner on 3B scores easily, and Ibanez gives it his all, throws a strike to Ruiz, who gets a solid collision from the runner, but holds on to the ball for the third out.

Cliff Lee didn’t go anything good on that play.  His pitch was going to be a called ball, but the batter thought he could drive the ball anyway.  No LF could have turned that play into an out.  Ibanez made likely his best throw ever.  Ruiz was the perfect catcher in terms of blocking the plate and holding the runner.

And yet the boxscore is going to show that Lee gave up only 1 run on that play and that he got an out (1/3 of an inning) on that play.

So, the question is what does Cliff Lee DESERVE in terms of credit.

(13) Comments • 2011/10/03 • SabermetricsPoll

Thursday, September 29, 2011

Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which youngster do you sign for the next 4 years?

By Tangotiger, 10:08 AM

(13) Comments • 2011/09/30 • SabermetricsPoll

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Poll: Equivalent Players

By Tangotiger, 11:37 AM

Suppose all players are signed for one year.  And, all players are paid only at the end of the season.  A pure pay-for-performance setup.  The league handles all payments.

There are seven teams (Team A through Team G) that have as players the following 5 players (who have played 160, 140, 120, 100, 80 games). 

Games    A....    B....    C....    D....    E....    F....    G....
160     120      120      120      120      120      120      120 
140     105      107      109      110      113      116      120 
120     090      094      098      100      106      112      120 
100     075      081      086      090      099      108      120 
080     060      068      075      080      092      104      120

The numbers represent the runs created by each player.  So, Team A has the 100 game player creating 75 runs, but Team G has their 100 game player creating 120 runs.

The average player generates 0.5 runs per game.

The salary of the above 160 game (120 Runs Created) players has already been set at 20MM$.

For which Team would you have the league pay exactly 20MM$ for each of the five players?  That is, for which Team do you find that the five players listed are equivalent to each other, in terms of their past performance?

(27) Comments • 2011/08/25 • SabermetricsPoll

Friday, August 19, 2011

Pitcher X is 13-4, 2.00 ERA, 153 IP.  For CY YOUNG voting, you place him right BELOW which pitcher?

By Tangotiger, 03:36 PM

(Note: presume the league average starting pitcher is a .500 pitcher, with a 4.00 ERA.)

(55) Comments • 2011/08/24 • SabermetricsPoll

Thursday, August 18, 2011

Poll: Player X created 105 runs in 105 games. AFTER which player would you slot him in, wrt MVP?

By Tangotiger, 05:01 PM

(Note: presume the league average player would create 81 runs in 162 games.)

(15) Comments • 2011/08/19 • SabermetricsPoll

Friday, August 05, 2011

Poll: Strasburg 2012 (Two polls)

By Tangotiger, 08:40 PM

Note: You take the number of runs he’ll allow per game, and divide that by the league average.  So, if he allows runs at half the league average, that means an index of 0.50.  If he allows runs at 20% higher than league average, that’s 1.20.  If he allows runs at the league average, that’s 1.00.


(13) Comments • 2011/08/07 • SabermetricsPoll

Friday, June 24, 2011

Poll: (Part 3) You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which do you sign today through 2015?

By Tangotiger, 12:03 PM

(17) Comments • 2011/06/25 • SabermetricsPoll

Poll: (Part 2) You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which do you sign today through 2015?

By Tangotiger, 10:36 AM

(2) Comments • 2011/06/24 • SabermetricsPoll

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which youngster do you sign today through 2015?

By Tangotiger, 05:00 PM

Four polls:




(12) Comments • 2011/06/24 • SabermetricsPoll

Monday, June 13, 2011

Poll: For any ten-year period, I like to see __ number of players voted in the Hall of Fame

By Tangotiger, 03:02 PM

(20) Comments • 2012/01/04 • SabermetricsAwardsPoll

Friday, June 10, 2011

Poll: If a game was scheduled to start at 19:00, what is the latest start you can accept due to rain

By Tangotiger, 09:53 AM

(22) Comments • 2011/06/24 • SabermetricsPoll

Friday, June 03, 2011

Poll: Would you be interested in paying for a Tangotiger-taught course?

By Tangotiger, 02:43 PM

(29) Comments • 2011/06/06 • SabermetricsPoll

Thursday, May 05, 2011

Poll: What is the ratio of caught foul tips to dropped foul tips by a catcher?

By Tangotiger, 08:35 PM

A reader asked me to crowdsource this.  This is like one of those jellybeans in a jar experiment.  We really don’t think much of it, but get a crowd together, and maybe we can figure it out.  If you have real data, DON’T post it in this thread.  Wait a day or two for that (or send it to me).


(27) Comments • 2011/05/11 • SabermetricsPoll

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Community Playing Time Forecasts 2011 - Last Call

By Tangotiger, 01:24 PM

Last chance to fill out the survey:
http://www.tangotiger.net/survey/

Please take a few minutes and let us know how much the players on your team are going to play.  A couple of more fans of the Astros, Marlins, and Royals would be appreciated.

(2) Comments • 2011/04/01 • SabermetricsForecastingPoll

Friday, March 25, 2011

Community Playing Time Forecast 2011

By Tangotiger, 10:00 AM

#tangosurvey
http://www.tangotiger.net/survey/

Please take a few minutes and let us know how much the players on your team are going to play.

And please, help spread the word!

***

I should have added: thank you very much for all the time you guys spend on filling it out.  It’s a huge benefit to me and, really, to everyone else, not only for this year, but in a historical sense, for posterity.

(14) Comments • 2011/03/29 • SabermetricsForecastingPoll

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Which boxscore presentation do you prefer?

By Tangotiger, 07:40 AM

Vote.

(7) Comments • 2011/03/24 • SabermetricsPoll

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Poll: I DO follow the NHL, and my preference for number of teams in the playoffs is…

By Tangotiger, 04:04 PM

(8) Comments • 2011/02/23 • SabermetricsPollOther SportsHockey
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New PECOTA