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Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Dodgers’ win reversed because Mattingly did not attest to proper score!

By Tangotiger, 04:10 PM

Incredible, but because Mattingly did not attest to the correct final score, MLB reversed the game and awarded the win to the Diamondbacks.  This happened even though everyone in the stadium was able to see the score.

Oh, sorry, I meant that this happened in a state tournament in golf.  Because everyone’s been conditioned to know this rule, been taught this rule, having absorbed this rule, everyone accepts this rule.  In fact, I believe this rule was the impetus for George Orwell writing 1984.  It’s true.  Look it up.

Anyway, the MLB rules committee has proposed this rule, and it’s starting at Little League, so that everyone can be taught the rule, absorb the rule, and accept the rule. Once the conditioning is set, then that’s it, there’s no controversy.  All of the hockey fans that will mock the baseball fan for having this rule will face the scorn of the baseball fan because the hockey fan doesn’t understand baseball.

(11) Comments • 2012/05/16 • SabermetricsMLB_ManagementOther SportsGolf

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Euro 2012 Preview

By Tangotiger, 11:20 PM

Big Lead Sports gives us a preview, starting with host Poland.

(0) Comments • • Other SportsSoccer

Monday, May 14, 2012

Compounding effects of the home-site advantage

By Tangotiger, 02:39 PM

Phil looks at one component, to show how the relative rate of points scored by the home team is dependent on how “easy” it is to score per possession.  The easier it is to score, the less the relative rate of points will be earned by the home team.  The harder it is to score (the more things have to compound in order for a goal or point to score), then the larger the relative rate of points earned by the home team.

In basketball, the current rules have it that the home team ends up getting 52% of the points.  But, Phil changes the rules so that more compounding actions have to happen in order to get points, and he can change that to 54% of the points goes to the home team.  Or, he reduces the number of compounding actions so that the home team gets barely more than 50% of the points.

It’s still part of the overall theme of “confrontations”.  For example, Nadal’s clay-court advantage is different if we just look at total points earned, as opposed to matches-won.  If you count as a “win” each point earned, maybe Nadal wins 150 points on court, while losing 100 or something.  That is, he gets 60% of all points scored.  But, if you count as a win each game, then he might win say 70% of all games.  If you count as a win each set, he might win say 80% of the sets.  And if you count as a win each match, he might win say 90% of all matches.

So, you can change the rules, like Phil is describing, to control the home-site advantage.  And the compounding effects of the confrontations is how you do it.

(3) Comments • 2012/05/16 • SabermetricsParksOther SportsBasketballHockey

Friday, May 11, 2012

Black hockey player unfazed by racial tweets

By Tangotiger, 09:38 PM

I love this guy, Joel Ward!  Just a real pleasure to listen to him speak. 

(0) Comments • • Other SportsHockey

Thursday, May 10, 2012

Patrick Kane’s diary… or rather, OTHER people’s diary of Kane

By Tangotiger, 07:23 PM

Let’s just say that we’re not surprised by the general tone in these posts (except for the choking part, which is always shocking, regardless of who it is).

(1) Comments • 2012/05/10 • Other SportsHockey

Tuesday, May 08, 2012

Five books describing the life of hockey

By Tangotiger, 01:16 PM

Bruce Dowbiggin was the Canadian counterpart to American Russ Conway, who together exposed NHLPA union leader Alan Eagleson’s crimes to the world.  Imagine Marvin Miller, but who ends up actually being a really bad guy.  That’s what happened.  So unbelievable that Eagleson still had support from former players.

Anyway, Dowbiggin is interviewed, and asked for five hockey books to recommend, and gives us a bit of history of hockey in the process.  An unusual format, but, great insight.

Glove-slap: NaOH.

(2) Comments • 2012/05/09 • Other SportsHockey

Old NHL scouting reports

By Tangotiger, 10:10 AM

Love the idea of this biased view:

For each of the selections, I want to cherry-pick the quotes a bit and focus on the negative comments on players I consider a “success” (500+ games in the NHL), as well as the positive comments on those who played less than 500 games. I’ll keep them in the order that [NHL Central Scouting Bureau] placed them.

(4) Comments • 2012/05/09 • Other SportsHockey

Monday, May 07, 2012

Shot rates in OT

By Tangotiger, 09:37 AM

Hawerchuk with a couple of charts for us.

I still remember watching that 4OT game, Islanders/Capitals.  I was exhausted watching it, so I can only imagine what it was like for the players to actually play it.

(0) Comments • • Other SportsHockey

Friday, May 04, 2012

Is Phil Mushnick too idiotic to be a racist?

By Tangotiger, 03:28 PM

I think this is what this writer is trying to say.

(3) Comments • 2012/05/05 • Other SportsBasketball

Sunday, April 29, 2012

Ads on jerseys/sweaters… who will be last?

By Tangotiger, 03:28 PM

It’s an eventuality of course, because money talks.  The question is which sport will hold out last?

(3) Comments • 2012/05/01 • Other Sports

WOWY Ovechkin

By Tangotiger, 02:52 PM

Good stuff from Tyler.

(0) Comments • • Other SportsHockey

Saturday, April 28, 2012

Assumed Risk?

By Tangotiger, 11:59 AM

This event looks exactly like it’s part of the game.  At worst a dirty hit, and worthy of a penalty, not sure about a suspension, but it could go either way, but still part of assumed risk.  Not a criminal case.  Chara/Pax, that’s a much better test case than this one.

(4) Comments • 2012/04/30 • Other SportsHockey

Thursday, April 19, 2012

Best tennis records against Top-10 opponents

By Tangotiger, 07:22 AM

Nice idea.  Of course, given Borg’s Koufax-like career, it would be nice to see “peak” records.

(0) Comments • • Other Sports

Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Is Brendan Shanahan’s lack of enforcement to blame?

By Tangotiger, 04:41 PM

In what can only be described as a possible path to the future if you let the inmates run the asylum, NHL playoffs have decended into some brutal plays.  If the players can get away from speeding or running a red light, then they will.  Is Shanahan to blame?  Is it too late for him to send the message?  Do we need someone to come in tough and hard and settle everyone down?  Maybe we need someone like Paul Kariya or Pat Lafontaine to be in charge of punishment.

(9) Comments • 2012/04/19 • Other SportsHockey

Monday, April 16, 2012

Ice Time for goons

By Tangotiger, 02:37 PM

Gabe and I wrote this a while ago.  I was hoping it to get some broad exposure, but we weren’t able to find any takers.  Anyway, it seems to have good timing, especially today.

(10) Comments • 2012/04/17 • Other SportsHockey

Sunday, April 15, 2012

Rooney Mara’s father: the end of kickoffs?

By Tangotiger, 10:05 AM

I love how progressive the NHL and NFL are about rule changes.  Their competition committees get big fanfare, and results are evident.  NBA too I think, from what I’ve followed. 

So, Giants owner Mara, who is part of the competition:

John Mara has served on the NFL Competition Committee for a dozen years and during that time its most vital mandate has remained unchanged. Player safety has been and will continue to be at the forefront of all committee discussions and decisions.

“That’s the first, second and last thing that we’re concerned about,” Mara said.

That’s a fantastic mission statement to have.

“One thing we did determine is that by moving the kickoff to the 35 yard-line it reduced the number of returns, but reduced the number of concussions by 40 percent,” Mara said. “So I don’t think you’ll see that rule change. The kickoff is by far the most dangerous play that we have in our game. The hits are pretty violent and they come from all different directions. There are guys running full speed, that’s the problem. That’s why we put the rule in. It shortens the field a little bit and it cuts down the number of returns.”

Some coaches – particularly those who employ the league’s best return specialists – as well as several returners voiced their displeasure after the spot of the kickoffs was moved up. They are not as vocal now.

“There was no support for moving the kickoff back to the 30 yard-line,” Mara said. “I think everybody was convinced by the statistics. The interesting thing was that, yes, we moved the kickoff to the 35 and, yes, that caused far fewer returns and poorer field position for the offense, but scoring was not affected (an average of 44.36 points were scored per game, virtually the same as the 2010 average of 44.07). The game we have right now is as wide open a game as we’ve ever had. The fact that field position went backward had no effect on scoring. So there really is no sentiment for moving it back to the 30.”

Mara can envision a day when a far more radical change is made and NFL games are played without kickoffs.

“We had a lot of discussions about whether we should eliminate it and if we did what we could do in its place,” he said. “There’s no consensus on it right now, but I could see the day in the future where that play could be taken out of the game.

(15) Comments • 2012/04/18 • Other SportsFootball

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Arena wars

By Tangotiger, 09:42 AM

For those who haven’t followed the arena issue in NJ, this article does a great job of getting to all the details, including the timeline sidebar. 

Are there alot of these disputes around the country?

(3) Comments • 2012/05/16 • SabermetricsMLB_ManagementOther SportsHockey

This is what @RealSkipBayless said about ImaginarySkipBayless

By Tangotiger, 07:48 AM

I love these tracers.

(1) Comments • 2012/04/10 • Other SportsBasketball

Tuesday, April 03, 2012

Beyond wins and losses: incorporating score differential

By Tangotiger, 04:22 PM

This is just a crazy thought I had.  I haven’t tested it.  Maybe someone out there can run the numbers.  You get 9 points for a win, and then one bonus point for every run differential up to a maximum of 6 bonus points.  So, win by 1, and you get 10 points.  Win by 6 (or more), and you get 15 points.  So, if you win three games by 1 run, or you win two by 6, and lose the third game, you get 30 points either way.

There are three points to consider when constructing this:
1. How many points for a win, your base level (*)

2. What score differential to cap?

3. Do you give points for losing close games, or do you get zero points whether you lose by 1 or 6?

(*) In my case is 9, which is a pleasant number as far as baseball is concerned.  I kind of did a trial and error to see what numbers would seem reasonable, and once I saw that I was coalescing toward 9, I decided that’s a good enough number.  My guess is that you can do this for any sport, and set the number as the average number of points per game.  In baseball, it’s about 9 runs per game (4.5 for each team).  I’d bet you can do the same thing in NHL and use 6 as the base level, and then cap it off at half of that, so that the range in NHL would be 7 to 10 or 11.  NFL is probably 42 points as the base, so the range would be say 43 to 63 (maximum differential of 21 points).  NBA?  I dunno, say have a base of 200 points, with a range of 201 to 220 or something.

So, I’d like to see a bit of work from the Straigh Arrow readers, if you like to play around with stuff like this.

(22) Comments • 2012/04/04 • SabermetricsStatistical_TheoryOther SportsBasketballFootballHockeySoccer

Sunday, April 01, 2012

UZR for putting

By Tangotiger, 04:56 PM

Good stuff:

Let’s use the example the PGA Tour has provided in its explanation. The average number of putts used to hole out from 7 feet, 10 inches is 1.50. If a player 1-putts from that distance, he gains 0.5 strokes (so, 1.5—1). If he 2-putts, he loses 0.5 strokes (1.5—2). If he 3-putts, he loses 1.5 strokes (1.5—3).

Then, for the final statistic, a player’s strokes gained or lost putting is compared to the field. If a player gained a total of 3.5 strokes over the course of a round, while the field gained just a half-stroke, the player’s strokes gained against the field would be 3.0.

(1) Comments • 2012/04/01 • Other SportsGolf
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COMMENTS

May 16 23:50
Now you frame it, now you don’t

May 16 23:47
Dodgers’ win reversed because Mattingly did not attest to proper score!

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Did Manny Pacquaio actually quote Leviticus?

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THREADS

May 16, 2012
Now you frame it, now you don’t

May 16, 2012
Dodgers’ win reversed because Mattingly did not attest to proper score!

May 16, 2012
Does changing your pitch frequency lead to substantial change in results?

May 16, 2012
Sponsoring MLB jerseys

May 15, 2012
Andre The Hawk Dawson speaks

May 15, 2012
Euro 2012 Preview

May 15, 2012
How to beat the shift

May 15, 2012
Will Pujols end the season with at least 30 HR and .500 SLG?

May 15, 2012
Kershaw v Strasburg, part 2

May 15, 2012
Did Manny Pacquaio actually quote Leviticus?