Buy The Book
1. Use the player salaries table in the Lahman database (1992-2005), and figure a team payroll.
2. Figure an annual average team payroll
3. Divide 1 by 2, to get a payroll index
4. Get that team’s winning percentage
With me so far?
I looked at all pitchers who pitched in 1943 and 1944 for the same team. I added up those IP in 1943 and 1944 and compared that to the total league IP. These pitchers accounted for 64% of all IP in 1943 and 71% in 1944. That is, 64% of all IP in 1943 were pitched by pitchers who played on the same team in 1943 and 1944. 71% were pitched in 1944 by pitchers who pitched in both those seasons. Got it?
I did this for all years from 1871 to 2005:
Alex Rodriguez has a clause in his contract that allows him to void the contract, following the 2007 seasons (and 2008, 2009, contract expires after 2010 season). He’d be leaving over 90 million$ on the table. On April 1, 2008, he will be a few months shy of 34 years. He may even need to shift to RF. He will also have 500 HR in the bank, and likely to clear 600. Say he voids his contract, so that he gets out of the hellhole (for him) that is the Yankees and gets to sign a 3-yr, 45-50 million$ contract elsewhere. (Interestingly, that’s about how much the Yanks would have paid him, so voiding the deal really saves the Rangers the most!). So, that’s 45-50 million$ that he’s really leaving out there.
Would you rather have 50 million$ and be happy, or 100 million$ and be miserable? How much is happiness worth? Or, in our terms, would you rather have 100,000$ and be happy, or 200,000$ and be miserable?
There is a thread on BTF about whether the Braves should re-sign A. Jones. I posted these remarks.
Sabernomics looks at how players perform, with respect to their salary levels, relative to their teammates.
Rick Dipietro of the NYI signed a long-term contract:
signed DiPietro to an unprecedented 15-year deal worth $67.5 million US
Can we justify this?
Assume that each extra 2 million$ spent adds 1 expected win to your team. This is how many wins each team is expected to win, given their opening day 2006 payroll:
I wish Bloomberg would have done an analysis of this, rather than just be a forum for the Yankees. And, I really thought they were going to, when they reported:
Feel free to add other links in this thread
http://www.rodneyfort.com/PHSportsEcon/Common/OtherData/DataDirectory.html
...Of The Ten Things [Studes] Didn’t Know Last Week
Studes talks about how much Win Shares of “cheap talent” that teams were able to get, without trading for it. What I would have liked to see is…
Tom Verducci says:
It should be alarming that Abreu has whiffed once in every three at-bats in close and late situations (20 in 61 at-bats) while hitting .230. He’s the kind of hitter who is happy with a walk in run-scoring situations, which sometimes leads to looking at third strikes.
Entering 2006…
One of the interesting development last year, when the NHL had their new CBA, was that every team was granted the option of buying out a limited number of contracts already on the books. For example…
I’ve been thinking of this for a long time:
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/story/2006/7/30/102656/648
Team Options (wins, runs, etc) and Player Options (R, RBI, IP, SV, etc) sounds like a fascinating game to develop. I agree that it would also be fascinating to see how people perceive the action. If only work could stop getting in the way of sports.
King Kauffman captures the issue here with this blurb:
May 16 22:32
Dodgers’ win reversed because Mattingly did not attest to proper score!
May 16 20:44
How to beat the shift
May 16 20:02
Sponsoring MLB jerseys
May 16 19:34
Now you frame it, now you don’t
May 16 16:56
Did Manny Pacquaio actually quote Leviticus?
May 16 16:06
Does changing your pitch frequency lead to substantial change in results?
May 16 14:18
Extra Innings: One-minute review
May 16 14:16
This particular criticism of UZR is unfounded
May 16 13:21
Psst… wanna intern for the Astros?
May 16 12:23
Arena wars
THREADS
May 03, 2012
How over-priced is the free agent market?
April 17, 2012
Madison Bumgarner
April 03, 2012
Drafting talent, and spending on free agents
April 02, 2012
Joey Votto comparables
March 01, 2012
Catcher aging and Yadier Molina
February 26, 2012
Ryan Zimmerman
February 07, 2012
How much is winning a Cy Young worth to a young pitcher?
January 25, 2012
Prince Fielder
January 18, 2012
Yu Darvish and the posting system
January 17, 2012
Projected Arbitration Salaries
Recent comments
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